Universidad Concepcion vs Universidad Chile
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3300
3299 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−188.6u
over 3299u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 579 | 54.6%51%–59% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1278 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1263 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 170 | 73.5%66%–80% | −6.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−7pp
197
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1712 | 68.2% | −81.5u |
| Match winner | 1588 | 60.5% | −107.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 605 | 67.1% | −18.5u |
| League 1 | 275 | 67.6% | −7.9u |
| Superleague | 267 | 60.7% | −35.7u |
| MLBMLB league page | 146 | 60.3% | +15.1u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3300 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Torneo Federal A. Winners stage
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Concepcion vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Flamengo RJ vs Botafogo RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.40 · +9.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Moron vs Atletico San MiguelFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Manisa vs BodrumsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Lazio vs GenoaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.12 · −9.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Cagliari vs Inter MilanFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Monaco vs MarseilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2:0 | LOST |
| Samsunspor vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.60 · +1.9% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Atlanta vs San Martin San JuanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| All Boys vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa SKFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Almirante Brown vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union ComercioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.80 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | WON |
| FCSB vs UTA AradFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.50 · −11.8% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Atletico Kimberley vs CA AlvaradoFootball · Torneo Federal A. Winners stage | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Banfield vs River PlateFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.48 · +2.1% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Nafta Lendava vs MariborFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.47 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Widzew Lodz vs Lech PoznanFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas RangersBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 4-7 | LOST |
| Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiacos PiraeusFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.30 · −11.6% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Sparta Prague vs Slavia PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Osijek vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.