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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3857

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3858

3857 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.9u

over 3857u staked

Yield

−5.6%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%70554.8%51%–58%51%–58%−1.2pp
60–70%avg claim 66%146662.3%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%147570.4%68%–73%68%–73%−4.6pp
80–90%avg claim 80%19771.6%65%–77%65%–77%−8.8pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

754

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3857

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±84.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance195968.5%−85.5u
Match winner189960.3%−130.4u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League71767.2%−20.2u
Superleague32461.4%−37.9u
League 131367.1%−11.5u
MLB↗MLB league page18059.4%+15.8u
League 215160.3%−18.3u
Division 110664.2%−6.9u
Division 210066.0%−4.0u
Serie B9561.1%−9.3u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7763.6%−5.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6752.2%−14.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3858 picks with a captured kickoff.

Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Istra 1961 vs Slaven Belupo

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Sheffield United vs Birmingham City

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss Bregenz

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
6-5

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Sanat Naft Abadan vs Malavan

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Kapfenberg vs Wacker Innsbruck

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Al-Taawoun Buraydah vs Al- Khaleej Saihat

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Istanbulspor vs Bodrumspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas San Carlos

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Deportivo Camioneros vs Deportivo Merlo

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Tallinna Kalev vs FC Elva

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kasimpasa SK vs Trabzonspor

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.80 · −6.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Shams Azar vs Persepolis Tehran

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Slovan Bratislava vs Ruzomberok

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Nafta Lendava vs Celje

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.75 · −17.5% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Juventud Las Piedras vs Montevideo City Torque

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Skalica vs Kosice

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Rostov vs Rubin

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Nyiregyhaza vs Kisvarda

Football · National League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC Zuglo

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kazincbarcika vs Kozarmisleny SE

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker Modling

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV1-5WON
Istra 1961 vs Slaven BelupoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-0WON
Sheffield United vs Birmingham CityFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Voitsberg vs Schwarz Weiss BregenzFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV6-5WON
Sanat Naft Abadan vs MalavanFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-1WON
Kapfenberg vs Wacker InnsbruckFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1WON
Kortrijk vs Royal AntwerpFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-3WON
Al-Taawoun Buraydah vs Al- Khaleej SaihatFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-0WON
Caernarfon vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-0WON
Istanbulspor vs BodrumsporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-2WON
Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas San CarlosFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-2LOST
Deportivo Camioneros vs Deportivo MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV0-0LOST
Tallinna Kalev vs FC ElvaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-0LOST
Fatih Karagumruk vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV2-1WON
Kasimpasa SK vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.80 · −6.2% CLV1-1LOST
Shams Azar vs Persepolis TehranFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV0-2WON
Slovan Bratislava vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV5-0WON
Nafta Lendava vs CeljeFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.75 · −17.5% CLV1-3WON
Juventud Las Piedras vs Montevideo City TorqueFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST
Skalica vs KosiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-4LOST
Rostov vs RubinFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-1WON
Nyiregyhaza vs KisvardaFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-1WON
Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC ZugloFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
Kazincbarcika vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV2-1WON
Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-2WON

2776–2800 of 3858

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.