First Vienna vs Liefering
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3793
3792 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.4%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−214.5u
over 3792u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 688 | 54.7%51%–58% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1449 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1446 | 70.4%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 195 | 71.3%65%–77% | −9.1pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−5pp
689
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±83.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1927 | 68.3% | −86.5u |
| Match winner | 1866 | 60.4% | −128.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 706 | 66.9% | −24.0u |
| Superleague | 321 | 61.4% | −37.4u |
| League 1 | 311 | 67.2% | −11.2u |
| MLBMLB league page | 174 | 60.3% | +17.9u |
| League 2 | 151 | 60.3% | −18.3u |
| Division 1 | 106 | 64.2% | −6.9u |
| Division 2 | 98 | 66.3% | −3.3u |
| Serie B | 94 | 60.6% | −9.7u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 68 | 61.8% | −6.1u |
| Serie A | 63 | 54.0% | −12.3u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3793 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 26m before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · U23. Victoria. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 10h before
Basketball · NBL 1. East. Final
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · AIHL League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · Liga MX
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · MLS
X2Double Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · USL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · USL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Vienna vs LieferingFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Unicov vs Zbrojovka Brno 2Football · League 3 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Bohemians Prague 1905 2 vs Slavia 3 PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Viktoria Zizkov vs Banik Ostrava 2Football · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Sparta 2 Prague vs Admira PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.35 · −5.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Bacau vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 2 | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan CityFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Newcastle North Stars vs Perth ThunderIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 6-3 | WON |
| Heidelberg United U23 vs Hume City U23Football · U23. Victoria. National Premier League | first seen 10h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sutherland Sharks vs Norths BearsBasketball · NBL 1. East. Final | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 64-76 | LOST |
| Preston Lions vs Dandenong ThunderFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.13 · −0.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong WolvesFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland SharksFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Belconnen United vs Canberra OlympicFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Melbourne Ice vs Adelaide AdrenalineIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.09 · +1.9% CLV | 10-0 | WON |
| Canberra Brave vs Brisbane LightningIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.04 · −2.8% CLV | 9-4 | WON |
| Kahibah vs Cooks Hill UnitedFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown RosebudFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| FC Maitland vs Edgeworth EaglesFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Sacramento Republic vs LexingtonFootball · USL | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Atlas vs Tigres MonterreyFootball · Liga MX | first seen 53m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS | first seen 23m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Los Angeles vs San DiegoFootball · MLS | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Las Vegas Lights vs Brooklyn FCFootball · USL | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Oakland Roots vs Monterey BayFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.80 · −4.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.