Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3329
3328 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−190.1u
over 3328u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 591 | 54.5%50%–58% | −1.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1286 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 172 | 73.8%67%–80% | −6.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
226
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1718 | 68.2% | −81.7u |
| Match winner | 1611 | 60.5% | −108.4u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3329 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Football · Queensland. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Ice Hockey · NZIHL. Semi-finals. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Ice Hockey · NZIHL. Semi-finals. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Basketball · LNBP
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 11h before
Basketball · CEBL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 33m before
Football · Group stage
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Comets vs North Eastern MetroStarsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 8h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar (youth)Football · Queensland. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Dunedin Thunder vs West Auckland AdmiralsIce Hockey · NZIHL. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV | 4-9 | LOST |
| Skycity Stampede vs Canterbury Red DevilsIce Hockey · NZIHL. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Diablos Rojos vs Freseros de IrapuatoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived | — | 82-86 | LOST |
| Mineros de Zacatecas vs Correcaminos de la UATBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 98-76 | WON |
| Abejas de Leon vs Astros JaliscoBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 83-95 | LOST |
| Portland (w) vs Toronto (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 97-83 | WON |
| Gambusinos de Fresnillo vs Panteras de AguascalientesBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 69-88 | LOST |
| Santos San Luis vs El Calor de CancunBasketball · LNBP | first seen 11h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 82-75 | WON |
| Vancouver Bandits vs Edmonton StingersBasketball · CEBL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16derived | — | 92-83 | WON |
| Real Cartagena vs Independiente YumboFootball · Serie B | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Austin vs TijuanaFootball · Group stage | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Minnesota Lynx (w) vs Los Angeles Sparks (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15derived | — | 82-89 | LOST |
| Independiente Juniors vs 22 de JulioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Atletico Rojiblanco vs Deportivo Santo DomingoFootball · Division 2 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Tre Fiori vs KF DritaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Partizan Beograd vs Tobol KostanayFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Benfica vs HeartsFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 6-1 | WON |
| Hibernian vs ShkendijaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Rijeka vs Ilves TampereFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Bohemians Dublin vs MidtjyllandFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Lugano vs NSI RunavikFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Braga vs Dinamo MinskFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Valur Reykjavik vs NordsjaellandFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.