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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3326

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3327

3326 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−189.9u

over 3326u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%58954.5%50%–58%50%–58%−1.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%128661.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%127070.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17273.8%67%–80%67%–80%−6.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−6pp

224

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3326

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance171868.2%−81.7u
Match winner160960.5%−108.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League61167.1%−18.6u
League 127667.4%−8.9u
Superleague27060.7%−35.6u
MLB↗MLB league page15160.3%+15.6u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28865.9%−3.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Serie A5855.2%−10.3u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Canberra Olympic vs Cooma Tigers

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-5

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston United

Football · Tasmania. National Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic

Football · Tasmania. National Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Dallas Wings (w) vs Golden State Valkyries (w)

Basketball · WNBA

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
76-94

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 32m before

Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 17m before

Gotham (w) vs San Diego Wave (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 12m before

Union Comercio vs Academia Cantolao

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.28 · +8.5% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 39m before

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 1h before

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 1h before

Shamrock Rovers vs FC Dundalk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.65 · −13.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-07 · first seen 46m before

Ammanford vs Colwyn Bay

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.33 · +10.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.40 · +5.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Brugge vs Kortrijk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

The New Saints vs Haverfordwest

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.28 · +12.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Holywell Town vs Connahs Quay

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.37 · +7.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Flint Town United vs Barry Town

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-07 · first seen 31m before

Blau Weiss Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 16m before

Boluspor vs Manisa

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.47 · +15.7% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-07 · first seen 16m before

Aarau vs Nyonnais

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 1m before

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 1m before

Mornar Bar vs Arsenal Tivat

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-07 · first seen 4h before

Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.40 · −16.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Canberra Olympic vs Cooma TigersFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV2-5WON
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston UnitedFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
South Hobart vs Riverside OlympicFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV5-2WON
Dallas Wings (w) vs Golden State Valkyries (w)Basketball · WNBA2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—76-94LOST
Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio CuartoFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Universidad Catolica vs CobresalFootball · Serie A2026-08-08first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Gotham (w) vs San Diego Wave (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-08-08first seen 12m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Union Comercio vs Academia CantolaoFootball · Division 22026-08-07first seen 39m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.28 · +8.5% CLV4-0WON
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir ReykjavikFootball · Division 12026-08-07first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV3-0LOST
Afturelding vs GrindavikFootball · Division 12026-08-07first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV4-1WON
Shamrock Rovers vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 46m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.65 · −13.2% CLV3-2WON
Ammanford vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.33 · +10.8% CLV2-2LOST
Cliftonville vs CrusadersFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV2-1WON
Derry City vs Sligo RoversFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.40 · +5.3% CLV2-0WON
Brugge vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV3-0WON
The New Saints vs HaverfordwestFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.28 · +12.3% CLV2-0WON
Bray Wanderers vs Finn HarpsFootball · Division 12026-08-07first seen 31m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV5-0WON
Holywell Town vs Connahs QuayFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.37 · +7.0% CLV1-3WON
Flint Town United vs Barry TownFootball · Premier League2026-08-07first seen 31m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.30 · −2.1% CLV2-3WON
Blau Weiss Linz vs Wacker InnsbruckFootball · League 12026-08-07first seen 16m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV3-0WON
Boluspor vs ManisaFootball · League 12026-08-07first seen 16m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.47 · +15.7% CLV1-2WON
Aarau vs NyonnaisFootball · Challenge League2026-08-07first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV2-1WON
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-07first seen 1m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV2-0WON
Mornar Bar vs Arsenal TivatFootball · League 12026-08-07first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV0-0LOST
Dordrecht vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 12026-08-07first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.40 · −16.7% CLV2-1WON

1501–1525 of 1609· 973 won / 635 lost · −108.2u · −6.7% yield · of 3327 total

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