Kilmarnock vs Celtic
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
- Score
- 1-5
· first seen 17m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3327
3326 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−189.9u
over 3326u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 589 | 54.5%50%–58% | −1.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1286 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 172 | 73.8%67%–80% | −6.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
224
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1718 | 68.2% | −81.7u |
| Match winner | 1609 | 60.5% | −108.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.
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AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock vs CelticFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV | 1-5 | WON |
| Malmo FF vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| KuPS Kuopio vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.47 · −5.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vejle vs HillerodFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 5-4 | WON |
| Pitea (w) vs Hacken (w)Football · Women. Major League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.27 · −4.5% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Sportfreunde LotteFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Hammarby vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Hoffenheim 2 vs Hansa RostockFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Nurnberg vs Dynamo DresdenFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.20 · −10.2% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Energie Cottbus vs Hannover 96Football · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.10 · −2.3% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo MakhachkalaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.67 · +7.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Gent vs MechelenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.93 · +3.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| St. Pauli vs Greuther FurthFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.80 · +9.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vasalund vs Stockholm InternazionaleFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.75 · +6.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Umea vs AFC EskilstunaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.90 · +11.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Naestved BK vs HIK HellerupFootball · 2 division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Helmond Sport vs De GraafschapFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.05 · +4.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sparta Rotterdam vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Sigma 2 Olomouc vs Slovacko 2Football · League 3 | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.38 · +0.7% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Perth Thunder vs Melbourne MustangsIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 21m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV | 0-6 | WON |
| Adelaide Adrenaline vs Brisbane LightningIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 6-7 | LOST |
| Sydney Bears vs Central Coast RhinosIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands UnitedFootball · Queensland. Premier League | first seen 10h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 5.20+42021/54.20+4.20-0.24from 4.90 · −5.8% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Newcastle North Stars vs Sydney Ice DogsIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney UnitedFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.65 · −1.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
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