Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3326

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3327

3326 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−189.9u

over 3326u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claims	Picks	Measured	95% CI	Gap
40–50%avg claim 45%	6	—	—	—
50–60%avg claim 56%	589	54.5%50%–58%	50%–58%	−1.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%	1286	61.7%59%–64%	59%–64%	−4.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%	1270	70.9%68%–73%	68%–73%	−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%	172	73.8%67%–80%	67%–80%	−6.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%	3	—	—	—

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−6pp

224

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3326

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Double chance	1718	68.2%	−81.7u
Match winner	1609	60.5%	−108.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Premier League	611	67.1%	−18.6u
League 1	276	67.4%	−8.9u
Superleague	270	60.7%	−35.6u
MLB MLB league page	151	60.3%	+15.6u
League 2	142	60.6%	−17.8u
Division 1	91	67.0%	−1.4u
Division 2	88	65.9%	−3.7u
Serie B	80	57.5%	−11.2u
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional league page	62	64.5%	−3.2u
Serie A	58	55.2%	−10.3u
Championship	56	64.3%	−4.4u
National league. North National league. North league page	53	62.3%	−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sport

League

Market

Result

Period

Clear

Zilina vs Skalica

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close: 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score: 1-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close: 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

FC Riga vs Ogre United

Football · Virsliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV
Score: 4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Jablonec vs Slovacko

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close: 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Veres Rivne vs Dynamo Kiev

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close: 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV
Score: 1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

SK Zapy vs Neratovice-Byskovice

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close: 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.45 · +11.5% CLV
Score: 3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hamarkameratene vs Aalesund

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close: 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV
Score: 1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Heerenveen vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close: 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.20 · +8.4% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Sion vs Vaduz

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV
Score: 3-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Basel vs Thun

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close: 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV
Score: 4-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Zulte Waregem vs Genk

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close: 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Zenit SPb vs Rodina Moscow

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

FC Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close: 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV
Score: 3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Motherwell vs Falkirk

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close: 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV
Score: 0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Charleroi vs Leuven

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV
Score: 3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Hearts vs Dundee United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV
Score: 4-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Baranovichi vs BATE Borisov

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close: 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV
Score: 2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 12m before

Paksi vs Budapest Honved

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close: 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV
Score: 2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

KPV Kokkola vs VJS Vantaa

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV
Score: 1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo Huracan

Football · Segunda Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close: 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV
Score: 2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Pyunik Yerevan vs Van

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: 1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV
Score: 3-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Slavia Prague vs Pardubice

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de Noviembre

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close: 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close: 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV
Score: 0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 17m before

Match	Played	Selection	Tipster odds	Feed close	Score	Result
Zilina vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived	1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV	1-3	LOST
Hradec Kralove vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived	2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV	2-1	WON
FC Riga vs Ogre UnitedFootball · Virsliga	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV	4-1	WON
Jablonec vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived	1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV	1-0	WON
Veres Rivne vs Dynamo KievFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	AwayMatch Winner	1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived	1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV	1-2	WON
SK Zapy vs Neratovice-ByskoviceFootball · League 3	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived	1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.45 · +11.5% CLV	3-1	WON
Hamarkameratene vs AalesundFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived	2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV	1-1	LOST
Heerenveen vs TwenteFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	AwayMatch Winner	1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived	2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.20 · +8.4% CLV	1-0	LOST
Sion vs VaduzFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 57m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV	3-2	WON
Basel vs ThunFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 57m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived	2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV	4-2	WON
Zulte Waregem vs GenkFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 27m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived	2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV	2-1	LOST
Zenit SPb vs Rodina MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27	2026-08-09first seen 27m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV	1-2	LOST
FC Siauliai vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 27m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived	2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.05 · −6.8% CLV	3-4	WON
Motherwell vs FalkirkFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 27m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived	1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV	0-0	LOST
Charleroi vs LeuvenFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 27m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV	3-1	WON
Hearts vs Dundee UnitedFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 27m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.65 · −4.1% CLV	4-0	WON
Baranovichi vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 12m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived	2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.95 · +3.5% CLV	2-2	LOST
Paksi vs Budapest HonvedFootball · National League	2026-08-09first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived	2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV	2-2	LOST
KPV Kokkola vs VJS VantaaFootball · League 2	2026-08-09first seen 47m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived	1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.35 · −1.5% CLV	1-2	WON
River Plate Montevideo vs Sportivo HuracanFootball · Segunda Division	2026-08-09first seen 47m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived	2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV	2-0	WON
Pyunik Yerevan vs VanFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 47m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived	1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.18 · +12.4% CLV	3-0	WON
Slavia Prague vs PardubiceFootball · Superleague	2026-08-09first seen 47m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV	2-1	WON
Benjamin Aceval vs 3 de NoviembreFootball · Division 2	2026-08-09first seen 47m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived	1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.55 · −11.4% CLV	2-1	WON
PEC Zwolle vs AjaxFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 17m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV	0-2	WON
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League	2026-08-09first seen 17m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived	1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV	0-2	WON

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.