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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3323

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3324

3323 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−190.0u

over 3323u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%58754.5%50%–59%50%–59%−1.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%128661.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%127070.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17173.7%67%–80%67%–80%−6.7pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−6pp

221

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3323

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance171868.2%−81.7u
Match winner160660.5%−108.3u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League61167.1%−18.6u
League 127667.4%−8.9u
Superleague27060.7%−35.6u
MLB↗MLB league page14960.4%+15.7u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28865.9%−3.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Serie A5855.2%−10.3u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3324 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Beograd

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Los Andes vs Ferro Carril Oeste

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.55 · −1.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Kristiansund vs Molde

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Jeunesse Esch vs Atert Bissen

Football · Division Nationale

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Zimbru vs Petrocub

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.92 · −8.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Porto vs Alverca

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.17 · −1.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

New York Liberty (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)

Basketball · WNBA

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
111-71

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Anderlecht vs La Louviere

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad Concepcion

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.83 · −3.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Horsens vs Brondby

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.72 · +9.6% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Volsungur vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Levadia Tallinn vs Nomme United

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza

Football · National League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Football · Bundesliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.30 · +6.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Arlanda vs Pitea

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Rangers vs Hibernian

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Shirak Gyumri vs Noah

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Zilina vs Skalica

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

FC Riga vs Ogre United

Football · Virsliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV2-2LOST
Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV1-0LOST
Los Andes vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.55 · −1.9% CLV1-2LOST
Alemannia Aachen vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV4-1WON
Kristiansund vs MoldeFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV2-1LOST
Jeunesse Esch vs Atert BissenFootball · Division Nationale2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV0-2WON
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV1-0WON
Zimbru vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.92 · −8.6% CLV1-2LOST
Porto vs AlvercaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.17 · −1.7% CLV2-0WON
New York Liberty (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)Basketball · WNBA2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—111-71LOST
Anderlecht vs La LouviereFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV2-1WON
Borac Banja Luka vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV3-1WON
Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad ConcepcionFootball · Serie A2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.83 · −3.7% CLV1-0WON
Horsens vs BrondbyFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.72 · +9.6% CLV0-2WON
Volsungur vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.53 · −5.6% CLV3-2LOST
Levadia Tallinn vs Nomme UnitedFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.16 · +4.5% CLV5-0WON
Debreceni VSC vs NyiregyhazaFootball · National League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV1-0WON
Ried vs Rapid ViennaFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.30 · +6.0% CLV1-2WON
Arlanda vs PiteaFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Rangers vs HibernianFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV1-2LOST
Stromsgodset vs EgersundsFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV0-2LOST
Shirak Gyumri vs NoahFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV3-4WON
Zilina vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV1-3LOST
Hradec Kralove vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV2-1WON
FC Riga vs Ogre UnitedFootball · Virsliga2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV4-1WON

1301–1325 of 1606· 971 won / 634 lost · −108.3u · −6.7% yield · of 3324 total

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