Laval vs Nantes
Football · Ligue 2
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 32m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3315
3314 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−190.9u
over 3314u staked
Yield
−5.8%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 581 | 54.6%50%–59% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1283 | 61.6%59%–64% | −4.7pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 171 | 73.7%67%–80% | −6.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−7pp
212
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1717 | 68.1% | −82.2u |
| Match winner | 1598 | 60.5% | −108.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 609 | 67.2% | −18.5u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 146 | 60.3% | +15.1u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 57 | 54.4% | −10.8u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3315 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval vs NantesFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Grenoble vs MetzFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 1.98 · −15.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Llandudno Town vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Reims vs DunkerqueFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Newroz vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 4.00 · 0.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Galatasaray vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.18 · −10.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.68 · −5.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| NAC Breda vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Waalwijk vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| KI Klaksvik vs Lech PoznanFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 22h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Heracles Almelo vs Den BoschFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs RudesFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.11 · +0.9% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Acassuso vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.10 · −4.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| LASK vs RiedFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Brage vs OrebroFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 2.00 · +11.1% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Dnepr Mogilev vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dukla Prague vs Slavia 2 PragueFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.62 · −0.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Budapest Honved vs VasasFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Pohronie vs BytcaFootball · League 2 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Galatasaray U19 vs Corum U19Football · U19. Elit Ligi | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV | 9-1 | WON |
| Al Nasr Dubai vs Al Ittihad KalbaFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.60 · −5.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chongqing Tongliang LongFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.03 · −1.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao ManateeFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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