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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3289

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3290

3289 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−184.7u

over 3289u staked

Yield

−5.6%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%57754.6%51%–59%51%–59%−1.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%127461.9%59%–64%59%–64%−4.4pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125970.8%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17073.5%66%–80%66%–80%−6.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−6pp

187

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3289

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.9u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance170668.3%−78.2u
Match winner158460.5%−106.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League60367.2%−17.9u
League 127367.8%−7.2u
Superleague26461.0%−34.1u
MLB↗MLB league page14560.0%+14.1u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3290 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Atletico Mitre vs Atletico Guemes

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Rangers Talca vs Magallanes

Football · Serie B

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Criciuma vs Goias

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Genk vs Vesterlo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 38m before

Leuven vs Brugge

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 38m before

Kaiserslautern vs Karlsruher

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.87 · −5.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs Trencin

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Bursaspor vs Igdir Belediyespor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

Excelsior vs PSV

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Argentino Merlo vs Ituzaingo

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Fluminense RJ (w) vs America Minas Gerais (w)

Football · Women. Series A1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Viktoria Plzen vs Fastav Zlin

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Fateh

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.11 · −3.5% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Durban City vs Richards Bay

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Union Minas vs Ayacucho

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 2.07 · +33.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Deportivo Moron vs Almagro

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Agropecuario vs Ciudad Bolivar

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Kholood

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Krasnodar vs Akhmat

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

Sturm vs Rheindorf Altach

Football · Bundesliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Atletico Mitre vs Atletico GuemesFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV1-1LOST
Osijek vs Lokomotiva ZagrebFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV1-0WON
Rangers Talca vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV3-2LOST
Fortuna Sittard vs CambuurFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV3-1WON
Criciuma vs GoiasFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV1-0WON
Genk vs VesterloFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 38m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV3-2WON
Leuven vs BruggeFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 38m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV0-3WON
Kaiserslautern vs KarlsruherFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 1.87 · −5.6% CLV0-0LOST
Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs TrencinFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV2-1WON
Genclerbirligi vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV2-1LOST
Bursaspor vs Igdir BelediyesporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV1-0WON
Widzew Lodz vs Korona KielceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV2-0WON
Excelsior vs PSVFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV1-2WON
Argentino Merlo vs ItuzaingoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Fluminense RJ (w) vs America Minas Gerais (w)Football · Women. Series A12026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.30 · +2.4% CLV4-1WON
Viktoria Plzen vs Fastav ZlinFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV3-2WON
Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-FatehFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.11 · −3.5% CLV3-0WON
Durban City vs Richards BayFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV1-1LOST
Union Minas vs AyacuchoFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 2.07 · +33.5% CLV3-1WON
Deportivo Moron vs AlmagroFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Agropecuario vs Ciudad BolivarFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.78 · −1.1% CLV1-0WON
Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV1-1LOST
Krasnodar vs AkhmatFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV1-0WON
Sturm vs Rheindorf AltachFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-15first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV1-0WON

1051–1075 of 1584· 958 won / 625 lost · −106.5u · −6.7% yield · of 3290 total

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