Stockholm Internazionale vs Järfälla
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3261
3260 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−179.7u
over 3260u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 568 | 54.8%51%–59% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1266 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
159
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1700 | 68.3% | −77.7u |
| Match winner | 1561 | 60.7% | −102.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 143 | 60.1% | +14.2u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3261 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
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Football · League 2
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Football · 1st Division
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Football · League 1
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Baseball · MLB
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Football · National League
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Football · Primera Division. Group stage
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Serie B
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Football · League 1
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Football · League 2
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AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Victoria.National Premier League
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· first seen 4d 23h before
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockholm Internazionale vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.20 · +5.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bregalnica Stip vs Bashkimi KumanovoFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Opava vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.70 · −5.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vejle vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.52 · +6.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Haka vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| FC Liepaja vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.18 · −5.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 11h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Zalaegerszeg vs FerencvarosFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.47 · −8.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Tachira vs MonagasFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Zemplin Michalovce vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Goianiense vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.85 · −1.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| JIPPO vs SJK AkatemiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| RoPS vs KuPS 2 KuopioFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Trygg/Lade vs GrorudFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 30m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| TSG Hawks vs Uni-LionsBaseball · CPBL | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 8-6 | LOST |
| Preston Lions vs Melbourne City 2Football · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal SFCFootball · Premier League | first seen 4d 23h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Juventud Unida Universitario vs Circulo DeportivoFootball · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 4.20+32016/53.20+3.20-0.31from 4.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| HB Torshavn vs B-68 ToftirFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rosengard vs UtsiktensFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.18 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Vidar vs ArendalFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.75 · +12.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Neom vs Al-FayhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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