Cardiff Metropolitan vs The New Saints
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.32 · +8.2% CLV
- Score
- 0-5
· first seen 40m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3261
3260 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−179.7u
over 3260u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 568 | 54.8%51%–59% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1266 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
159
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1700 | 68.3% | −77.7u |
| Match winner | 1561 | 60.7% | −102.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 143 | 60.1% | +14.2u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3261 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Regional League. East
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · 1st Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Metropolitan vs The New SaintsFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.32 · +8.2% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Vllaznia Shkoder vs Skenderbeu KorceFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Bari vs CaveseFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.32 · −12.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Holywell Town vs Barry TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Jaguares Cordoba vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.80 · +7.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Atletico San Telmo vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.45 · +4.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de JulioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.58 · +15.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Marseille vs StrasbourgFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.75 · +1.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Emmen vs Jong AZ AlkmaarFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.20 · +18.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Erzurumspor BB vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Helmond Sport vs WaalwijkFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.83 · +7.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Den Bosch vs FC EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Arsenal vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.20 · −1.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Union Brescia vs CarpiFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.50 · −14.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Haverfordwest vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.75 · −8.9% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Finn Harps vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.05 · −1.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sarajevo vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.20 · −5.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Karvina vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.33 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Wiener SK vs SC Wiener ViktoriaFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Horn vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.28 · −6.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Zamalek vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.50 · +11.1% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sirius vs HackenFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Fredericia vs Aarhus FremadFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
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