Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 5-10
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3261
3260 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−179.7u
over 3260u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 568 | 54.8%51%–59% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1266 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
159
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1700 | 68.3% | −77.7u |
| Match winner | 1561 | 60.7% | −102.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 143 | 60.1% | +14.2u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3261 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Women. Series A1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 33m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 33m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5-10 | LOST |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 12-3 | WON |
| Inter Milan vs MonzaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.19 · +1.7% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Huachipato vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Cobreloa vs Union EspanolaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cuiaba vs GoiasFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.17 · −7.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Independiente Siguatepeque vs Deportivo GenesisFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.30 · −11.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Gremio (w) vs Botafogo RJ (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Edinburgh City vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.25 · +13.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Cavalry vs Atletico OttawaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Comerciantes vs Union MinasFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22from 6.50 · +18.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Miami Marlins vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Sporting Lisbon vs AlvercaFootball · Premier League | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Espanyol vs Real MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 33m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Genoa vs NapoliFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 1.90 · −12.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Piast Gliwice vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 2.00 · +1.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| UTA Arad vs HunedoaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.35 · −4.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Zurich vs BaselFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 1.95 · −17.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Fenerbahce vs KonyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.32 · +5.6% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Levski Sofia vs Spartak VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Bohemians PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.20 · −6.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Saint Etienne vs GrenobleFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.40 · +5.3% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Cerro Largo vs Defensor SportingFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.95 · −1.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.