Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.27 · +13.4% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 6m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3260
3259 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−178.7u
over 3259u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 567 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.2pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1266 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
158
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1700 | 68.3% | −77.7u |
| Match winner | 1560 | 60.7% | −101.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 142 | 60.6% | +15.2u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3260 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
Football · Primera division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.27 · +13.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.25 · −6.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 5-4 | WON |
| Real Oruro vs BolivarFootball · Primera division | first seen 6m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Torino vs MilanFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.40 · +14.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Houston Astros vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 11-7 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 6-4 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 8-3 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 6-2 | WON |
| IA Akranes vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Stjarnan vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Castellon vs SabadellFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.52 · −10.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Pisa vs PadovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.78 · +0.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Zilina vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Keflavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Gzira United vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Trabzonspor vs Istanbul BasaksehirFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.13 · +12.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Hohenems vs RothisFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.