Frem vs ASA Aarhus
Football · Danmarksserien
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 16h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3257
3256 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−181.0u
over 3256u staked
Yield
−5.6%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 565 | 54.7%51%–59% | −1.3pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1265 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
155
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1699 | 68.3% | −78.2u |
| Match winner | 1558 | 60.7% | −102.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 141 | 60.3% | +14.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 55 | 52.7% | −11.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3257 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Danmarksserien
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 16h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier Division
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 22m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frem vs ASA AarhusFootball · Danmarksserien | first seen 16h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Maribor vs BravoFootball · Superleague | first seen 7m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Rijeka vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Frosinone vs JuventusFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Santos SP vs MirassolFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.87 · +8.7% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Maranhao vs ItabaianaFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Palmeiras SP vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.57 · −1.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Antofagasta vs Deportes TemucoFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.72 · +2.4% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Inter San Carlos vs Deportivo SaprissaFootball · Premier Division | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.65 · −4.6% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Operario Ferroviario vs Vila NovaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.80 · +22.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.08 · −1.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| FC Kitzbuhel vs Intemann LauterachFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Hajduk Split vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.02 · −6.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Union Comercio vs Carlos ManucciFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.60 · +4.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Dallas Wings (w) vs Seattle Storm (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 92-70 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 2-19 | WON |
| San Diego Padres vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 8-1 | WON |
| Washington Spirit (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Belgrano vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Alanyaspor vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Elche vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 36m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.27 · +13.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.25 · −6.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.