Bragantino vs Gremio
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.67 · +6.4% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 6m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3255
3254 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−179.0u
over 3254u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 564 | 54.8%51%–59% | −1.2pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1264 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
153
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1698 | 68.3% | −77.2u |
| Match winner | 1557 | 60.7% | −101.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 141 | 60.3% | +14.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3255 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragantino vs GremioFootball · Serie A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.67 · +6.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Atenas San Carlos vs Sportivo HuracanFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.85 · +32.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| PAOK vs LevadiakosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Chicago Red Stars (w) vs Racing Louisville (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Catania vs Inter Milan U23Football · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.53 · +0.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| PSV vs GroningenFootball · Premier League | first seen 19m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Seoul E-Land vs Paju FrontierFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.45 · −4.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chunichi Dragons vs Tokyo Yakult SwallowsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-7 | WON |
| Chaco For Ever vs Los AndesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.15 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Bodrumspor vs MuglasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.63 · −9.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al DhafraFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Stirling Albion vs StranraerFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou DongwuFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Trento vs TrevisoFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.68 · −5.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Ponte Preta vs AvaiFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Pumas UNAM vs NecaxaFootball · Liga MX | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.90 · +1.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La GuairaFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 33m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.67 · +7.7% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Kosice vs Slovan BratislavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Ceuta vs Las PalmasFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.50 · +6.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| IF Vestri vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 2.90 · −6.5% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 28h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Frem vs ASA AarhusFootball · Danmarksserien | first seen 16h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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