Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3161

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3161

3161 graded

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−165.0u

over 3161u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claims	Picks	Measured	95% CI	Gap
40–50%avg claim 47%	3	—	—	—
50–60%avg claim 56%	535	55.5%51%–60%	51%–60%	−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%	1238	62.0%59%–65%	59%–65%	−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%	1216	71.0%68%–73%	68%–73%	−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%	166	74.1%67%–80%	67%–80%	−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%	3	—	—	—

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+1pp

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3161

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Double chance	1654	68.5%	−70.3u
Match winner	1507	61.0%	−94.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Premier League	560	67.3%	−15.1u
League 1	259	68.7%	−3.3u
Superleague	256	61.3%	−31.5u
League 2	141	61.0%	−16.8u
MLB MLB league page	128	62.5%	+18.4u
Division 1	91	67.0%	−1.4u
Division 2	87	66.7%	−2.7u
Serie B	80	57.5%	−11.2u
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional league page	61	65.6%	−2.2u
Serie A	54	53.7%	−10.5u
National league. North National league. North league page	53	62.3%	−4.7u
Championship	52	63.5%	−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3161 picks with a captured kickoff.

Sport

League

Market

Result

Period

Clear

Bocholt vs Bonner

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close: 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV
Score: 2-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close: 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV
Score: 3-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Nyonnais vs Winterthur

Football · Challenge League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close: 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 2-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Frederikshavn vs Rodovre

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close: 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV
Score: 5-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 43m before

Boluspor vs Keciorengucu Ankara

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close: 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV
Score: 0-2

2026-09-01 · first seen 13m before

Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Deportivo

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close: 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-09-01 · first seen 1h before

Tigre vs Barracas Central

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close: 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV
Score: 0-0

2026-09-01 · first seen 15m before

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close: —
Score: 11-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 42m before

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close: —
Score: 17-3

2026-08-31 · first seen 42m before

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia Anzoategui

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV
Score: 3-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 32m before

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close: —
Score: 6-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 25h before

Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV
Score: 5-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

Benfica vs Estoril

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

Braga vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close: 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 1h before

HNK Gorica vs Rijeka

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score: 4:0

2026-08-31 · first seen 59m before

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close: 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV
Score: 0:1

2026-08-31 · first seen 59m before

Dijon vs Saint Etienne

Football · Ligue 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close: 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV
Score: 2:3

2026-08-31 · first seen 44m before

Atalanta vs Bologna

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close: 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV
Score: 1:0

2026-08-31 · first seen 44m before

Besiktas vs Corum Belediyespor

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close: 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV
Score: 6-2

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Racing Montevideo vs Albion Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close: 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Amedspor vs Trabzonspor

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close: 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV
Score: 2-1

2026-08-31 · first seen 29m before

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close: 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score: 2-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 14m before

KI Klaksvik vs EB/Streymur

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close: 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV
Score: 3-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 3h before

Osasuna vs Getafe

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close: 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.25 · +4.7% CLV
Score: 1-0

2026-08-31 · first seen 3h before

Lecce vs Roma

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds: 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close: 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score: 0-4

2026-08-31 · first seen 2h before

Match	Played	Selection	Tipster odds	Feed close	Score	Result
Bocholt vs BonnerFootball · Regional League. West	2026-09-01first seen 43m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived	1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV	2-2	LOST
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Etoile-CarougeFootball · Challenge League	2026-09-01first seen 43m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived	1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.55 · −8.8% CLV	3-0	WON
Nyonnais vs WinterthurFootball · Challenge League	2026-09-01first seen 43m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived	1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV	2-2	LOST
Frederikshavn vs RodovreIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen	2026-09-01first seen 43m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived	1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.25 · +18.4% CLV	5-1	WON
Boluspor vs Keciorengucu AnkaraFootball · League 1	2026-09-01first seen 13m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived	1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV	0-2	WON
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A	2026-09-01first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived	1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV	2-1	WON
Tigre vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League	2026-09-01first seen 15m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived	1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.80 · −1.1% CLV	0-0	LOST
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB	2026-08-31first seen 42m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived	—	11-1	LOST
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB	2026-08-31first seen 42m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived	—	17-3	LOST
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Academia AnzoateguiFootball · Primera Division. Group stage	2026-08-31first seen 32m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV	3-0	WON
Washington Nationals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB	2026-08-31first seen 25h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived	—	6-2	WON
Barcelona vs Rayo VallecanoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27	2026-08-31first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.13 · +2.7% CLV	5-2	WON
Benfica vs EstorilFootball · Premier League	2026-08-31first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.19 · +8.2% CLV	2-1	WON
Braga vs Vitoria GuimaraesFootball · Premier League	2026-08-31first seen 1h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived	1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV	1-0	WON
HNK Gorica vs RijekaFootball · Premier League	2026-08-31first seen 59m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived	1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV	4:0	LOST
Aston Villa vs ArsenalFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27	2026-08-31first seen 59m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived	1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV	0:1	WON
Dijon vs Saint EtienneFootball · Ligue 2	2026-08-31first seen 44m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived	1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.80 · +7.8% CLV	2:3	WON
Atalanta vs BolognaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27	2026-08-31first seen 44m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived	1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV	1:0	WON
Besiktas vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague	2026-08-31first seen 29m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived	1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.43 · +2.1% CLV	6-2	WON
Racing Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League	2026-08-31first seen 29m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived	1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.80 · +5.9% CLV	1-0	WON
Amedspor vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague	2026-08-31first seen 29m before	AwayMatch Winner	1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived	2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.97 · −5.3% CLV	2-1	LOST
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1	2026-08-31first seen 14m before	HomeMatch Winner	1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived	1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV	2-0	WON
KI Klaksvik vs EB/StreymurFootball · Premier League	2026-08-31first seen 3h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived	1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.18 · +5.4% CLV	3-0	WON
Osasuna vs GetafeFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27	2026-08-31first seen 3h before	HomeMatch Winner	1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived	2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.25 · +4.7% CLV	1-0	WON
Lecce vs RomaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27	2026-08-31first seen 2h before	AwayMatch Winner	1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived	1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV	0-4	WON

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.