Al-Fayha vs Abha
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV
- Score
- 1:1
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3242
3241 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−171.4u
over 3241u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 555 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.9pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1262 | 61.9%59%–65% | −4.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1250 | 71.0%68%–73% | −3.9pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
−2pp
141
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1695 | 68.4% | −74.2u |
| Match winner | 1547 | 60.9% | −97.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 593 | 67.5% | −15.5u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 133 | 62.4% | +18.7u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3242 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · K League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Handball · Bundesliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 52m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 45m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 37m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 35m before
Football · Division 2. Relegation Group
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · National league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 7h before
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha vs AbhaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Al-Riyadh vs NeomFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.93 · +5.5% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| JaPS vs KaPaFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.90 · −11.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Akron Tolyatti vs CSKA MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.67 · −0.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Voluntari vs Otelul GalatiFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.80 · +7.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vitebsk vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Ansan Greeners vs DaeguFootball · K League 2 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| THW Kiel vs TBV Lemgo LippeHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV | 35-27 | WON |
| Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo CaliFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| AEK Athens vs Levski SofiaFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 52m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.48 · +0.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles DodgersBaseball · MLB | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 2-8 | WON |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-13 | WON |
| New York Yankees vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 35m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 1-5 | LOST |
| 22 de Julio vs Deportivo Santo DomingoFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.75 · −7.9% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| CSKA Sofia vs OFIFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.42 · −13.9% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Always Ready vs Aurora CochabambaFootball · Primera division | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Celta vs OsasunaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 29m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.95 · +5.4% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Barcelona vs Athletic BilbaoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Boreham Wood vs Boston UnitedFootball · National league | first seen 44m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Hibernian vs GentFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.70 · −3.6% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Ajax vs SionFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 5-3 | WON |
| AGF Aarhus vs BenficaFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 7h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.48 · +8.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Washington Nationals vs Colorado RockiesBaseball · MLB | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 7-1 | WON |
| Lillestrom vs Egnatia RrogozhineFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 6h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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