Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 0m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 45m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 53m before
Football · National League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 38m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo ItalianoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Petrovac vs Mornar BarFootball · League 1 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Auxerre vs AngersFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Sarajevo vs Zrinjski MostarFootball · Premier League | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs ToulouseFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 45m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Dukla Banska Bystrica vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Panetolikos vs KalamataFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Hunedoara vs Dinamo BucurestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Gaziantep BB vs RizesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Young Boys vs BaselFootball · Superleague | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Batman Petrolspor vs SivassporFootball · League 1 | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Al Zawraa vs ZakhoFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Brown Adrogue vs Deportivo LiniersFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon SzczecinFootball · Superleague | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Karkh vs Al KahrabaaFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2:3 | LOST |
| Guingamp vs NantesFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0:0 | WON |
| Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica QuitoFootball · Premier League | first seen 0m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Banik Ostrava vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| CA Colegiales vs CD MaipuFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo CamionerosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Riestra vs Velez SarsfieldFootball · Premier League | first seen 53m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ujpest vs VasasFootball · National League | first seen 38m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Ironi TiberiasFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Bnei Sakhnin vs Maccabi Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dynamo MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.