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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3333

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3334

3333 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.4%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−192.6u

over 3333u staked

Yield

−5.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%59454.2%50%–58%50%–58%−1.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%128661.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%127170.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17374.0%67%–80%67%–80%−6.4pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−6pp

231

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3333

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance171868.2%−81.7u
Match winner161660.4%−110.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League61167.1%−18.6u
League 127667.4%−8.9u
Superleague27060.7%−35.6u
MLB↗MLB league page15160.3%+15.6u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28865.9%−3.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Serie A5855.2%−10.3u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3334 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Radcliffe vs Spalding United

Football · National league. North

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Rapid 2 Vienna vs Voitsberg

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 0m before

Vasas vs Zalaegerszeg

Football · National League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 0m before

Puszcza Niepolomice vs Odra Opole

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 0m before

Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 0m before

Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dynamo Brest

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 57m before

Encarnacion vs Guarani Paraguari

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Uruguay Montevideo vs Paysandu

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Orgryte vs AIK

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Penafiel vs Portimonense

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Levy Bereg Kiev vs Kudrovka

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 17m before

Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 17m before

Aarhus Fremad vs Koge

Football · 1st Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Kickers Offenbach vs Astoria Walldorf

Football · Regional League. South-West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Paderborn 07-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Eintracht Trier vs Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz

Football · Regional League. South-West

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Kolos 2 Kovalivka vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preussen Munster

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Rodinghausen vs Bonner

Football · Regional League. West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Viktoria Koln vs Jahn Regensburg

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-5

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Sandhausen vs TSV Steinbach

Football · Regional League. South-West

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

TSV Havelse vs Stuttgart 2

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Viimsi

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Airdrieonians vs East KilbrideFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-1WON
Radcliffe vs Spalding UnitedFootball · National league. North2026-08-08first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-2LOST
Rapid 2 Vienna vs VoitsbergFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 0m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-3LOST
Vasas vs ZalaegerszegFootball · National League2026-08-08first seen 0m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—5-0WON
Puszcza Niepolomice vs Odra OpoleFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 0m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-1WON
Miedz Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 0m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST
Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dynamo BrestFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1WON
Encarnacion vs Guarani ParaguariFootball · Division 22026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1LOST
Uruguay Montevideo vs PaysanduFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Orgryte vs AIKFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-4LOST
Penafiel vs PortimonenseFootball · Division 22026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Levy Bereg Kiev vs KudrovkaFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 17m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-0WON
Krylia Sovetov vs BaltikaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-08first seen 17m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-2WON
Aarhus Fremad vs KogeFootball · 1st Division2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-1WON
Kickers Offenbach vs Astoria WalldorfFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1WON
Paderborn 07-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-3LOST
Eintracht Trier vs Barockstadt Fulda-LehnerzFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1LOST
Kolos 2 Kovalivka vs Ahrobiznes VolochyskFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-2WON
Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preussen MunsterFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-3LOST
Rodinghausen vs BonnerFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-1WON
Viktoria Koln vs Jahn RegensburgFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-5WON
Sandhausen vs TSV SteinbachFootball · Regional League. South-West2026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-2WON
TSV Havelse vs Stuttgart 2Football · Bundesliga 32026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-3WON
Maardu Linnameeskond vs ViimsiFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2LOST
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu RongchengFootball · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST

1576–1600 of 1718· 1171 won / 547 lost · −81.7u · −4.8% yield · of 3334 total

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