Athletic Minas Gerais vs Criciuma
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 27m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3327
3326 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−189.9u
over 3326u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 589 | 54.5%50%–58% | −1.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1286 | 61.7%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 172 | 73.8%67%–80% | −6.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
224
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1718 | 68.2% | −81.7u |
| Match winner | 1609 | 60.5% | −108.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 151 | 60.3% | +15.6u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 58 | 55.2% | −10.3u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 2. Division B. Group 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 18h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · National League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Virsliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Regional League. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · 1st Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Minas Gerais vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Cruzeiro vs MirassolFootball · Serie A | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Dinamo Vologda vs Torpedo VladimirFootball · League 2. Division B. Group 2 | first seen 18h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Inter Turku vs FC LahtiFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Randers vs LyngbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Danubio vs Cerro MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Waterford vs Bohemians DublinFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Yelimay Semey vs Irtysh PavlodarFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Carapegua vs Fernando de la MoraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Varbergs BoIS vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Meshakhte vs Samgurali TskaltuboFootball · National League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Super Nova vs FC LiepajaFootball · Virsliga | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Groningen vs UtrechtFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| St. Pauli 2 vs BremerFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Lugano vs ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen TigerFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Aalborg vs Kolding IFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai PortFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Guangdong GZ-Power vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hvidovre vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Rana vs SkeidFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Zorya vs KryvbasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.70 · +1.2% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
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