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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3326

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3327

3326 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−189.9u

over 3326u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%58954.5%50%–58%50%–58%−1.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%128661.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%127070.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17273.8%67%–80%67%–80%−6.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−6pp

224

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3326

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 89 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance171868.2%−81.7u
Match winner160960.5%−108.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League61167.1%−18.6u
League 127667.4%−8.9u
Superleague27060.7%−35.6u
MLB↗MLB league page15160.3%+15.6u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28865.9%−3.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Serie A5855.2%−10.3u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3327 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 19h before

Boston Legacy (w) vs Portland Thorns (w)

Football · Women. NWSL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 40m before

Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For Ever

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 10m before

Academia Anzoategui vs Portuguesa

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 10m before

Novorizontino vs Juventude RS

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Ypiranga Erechim vs Floresta

Football · Serie C

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Nautico Capibaribe vs Atletico Goianiense

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Racing Cordoba vs Atletico San Miguel

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

O'Higgins vs Deportes Limache

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Vanspor vs Kayserispor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 15m before

Mantova vs Carpi

Football · Clubs

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 23h before

Bodrumspor vs Bursaspor

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 15m before

KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 0m before

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 0m before

Jezero vs Mladost Donja Gorica

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

San Lorenzo Almagro vs Huracan

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Bokelj vs Sutjeska Niksic

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Parma vs Sampdoria

Football · Clubs

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 15h before

Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal Sarandi

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Dock Sud vs San Martin Burzaco

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Rubin vs Orenburg

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Austria Vienna vs LASK

Football · Bundesliga

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 19h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Boston Legacy (w) vs Portland Thorns (w)Football · Women. NWSL2026-08-09first seen 40m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—3-4LOST
Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-09first seen 10m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-1WON
Academia Anzoategui vs PortuguesaFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-08-09first seen 10m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—3-4WON
Novorizontino vs Juventude RSFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Ypiranga Erechim vs FlorestaFootball · Serie C2026-08-09first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—4-1WON
Nautico Capibaribe vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 45m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Racing Cordoba vs Atletico San MiguelFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-09first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
O'Higgins vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A2026-08-09first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-3LOST
Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo LuquenoFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 45m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2LOST
Vanspor vs KayserisporFootball · League 12026-08-09first seen 15m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-2WON
Mantova vs CarpiFootball · Clubs2026-08-09first seen 23h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-1LOST
Bodrumspor vs BursasporFootball · League 12026-08-09first seen 15m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.70 · −1.2% CLV0-2WON
KA Akureyri vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 0m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1WON
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew LodzFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 0m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-2LOST
Jezero vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 12026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0LOST
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0WON
Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-1WON
San Lorenzo Almagro vs HuracanFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-2WON
Bokelj vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 12026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST
Parma vs SampdoriaFootball · Clubs2026-08-09first seen 15h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-2WON
Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal SarandiFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-09first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Dock Sud vs San Martin BurzacoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-09first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-1WON
Rubin vs OrenburgFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-09first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-1WON
Austria Vienna vs LASKFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-2WON

1401–1425 of 1718· 1171 won / 547 lost · −81.7u · −4.8% yield · of 3327 total

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