AD San Carlos vs Herediano
Football · Premier Division
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3321
3320 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−190.0u
over 3320u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 586 | 54.6%51%–59% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1284 | 61.6%59%–64% | −4.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 171 | 73.7%67%–80% | −6.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−6pp
218
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1717 | 68.1% | −82.2u |
| Match winner | 1604 | 60.5% | −107.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 611 | 67.1% | −18.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 149 | 60.4% | +15.7u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 57 | 54.4% | −10.8u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3321 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 0m before
Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. East
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD San Carlos vs HeredianoFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes UnidosFootball · Premier League | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Encarnacion vs 12 de Junio Villa HayesFootball · Division 2 | first seen 0m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Universitario Vinto vs Real TomayapoFootball · Primera division | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Annecy vs RodezFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Cercle Brugge vs Sint-TruidenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Cambrian United vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Nancy vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Airbus UK vs AmmanfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Balzan vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Arges Pitesti vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| St Polten vs Blau Weiss LinzFootball · League 1 | first seen 15h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hasselt vs DenderFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Vozdovac vs Graficar BeogradFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Seraing vs Lokeren TemseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Al-Ettifaq vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.00 · +5.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Telstar vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Wiener SK vs GloggnitzFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Bonner vs Sportfreunde LotteFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Stellenbosch vs Marumo GallantsFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Kremser vs SC/ESV ParndorfFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 5-5 | WON |
| Schalke 04 2 vs Sportfreunde SiegenFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Thionville vs SM CaenFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Versailles vs Le PuyFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Viborg vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.