FC Seoul vs Daejeon Citizen
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3316
3315 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−190.1u
over 3315u staked
Yield
−5.7%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 6 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 582 | 54.6%51%–59% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1283 | 61.6%59%–64% | −4.7pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1270 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.1pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 171 | 73.7%67%–80% | −6.7pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3102
Sept 26
−7pp
213
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1717 | 68.1% | −82.2u |
| Match winner | 1599 | 60.5% | −107.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 610 | 67.2% | −17.6u |
| League 1 | 276 | 67.4% | −8.9u |
| Superleague | 270 | 60.7% | −35.6u |
| MLBMLB league page | 146 | 60.3% | +15.1u |
| League 2 | 142 | 60.6% | −17.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 88 | 65.9% | −3.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Serie A | 57 | 54.4% | −10.8u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3316 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · U19. Youth league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · U19. Youth league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 46m before
Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
Football · Western Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Western Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Tasmania. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Victoria.National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · U23. Victoria. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 9h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Metalist Kharkiv vs OleksandriaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Kryvbas vs Levy Bereg KievFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto SangaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen NagasakiFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| North Eastern MetroStars vs Croydon KingsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Slavia Prague U19 vs Pardubice U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Mito HollyHock vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Teplice U19 vs Banik Ostrava U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Metaloglobus Bucharest vs Viitorul SelimbarFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Gloria Bistrita vs Concordia ChiajnaFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Bihor Oradea vs Targu MuresFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ramnicu Valcea vs CSM SlatinaFootball · League 2 | first seen 46m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sturt Lions (r) vs Campbelltown City (r)Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-6 | LOST |
| West Adelaide (r) vs Playford City Patriots (r)Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| North Eastern MetroStars (r) vs Croydon Kings (r)Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Western Knights vs BalcattaFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Armadale vs Dianella White EaglesFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Launceston City vs Clarence ZebrasFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Heidelberg United vs Hume CityFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-5 | LOST |
| Dandenong City U23 vs Altona Magic U23Football · U23. Victoria. National Premier League | first seen 9h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| San Diego Wave (w) vs Denver Summit (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.