Rubin vs Dynamo Makhachkala
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 9m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · National League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 9m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Segunda Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 57m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin vs Dynamo MakhachkalaFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Viktoria Koln vs Preussen MunsterFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 39m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs ValenciaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 39m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3:1 | LOST |
| Lillestrom vs FredrikstadFootball · Superleague | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| Seraing vs Lierse KempenzonenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 24m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Mantova vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3:1 | LOST |
| Puskas Academy vs FerencvarosFootball · National League | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Dacia Buiucani vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 9m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Casa Pia vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 9m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Eyupspor vs AlanyasporFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Skala vs 07 VesturFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Al-Hazem vs Al-Shabab RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3:3 | WON |
| Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Al Nasr Al Farwaniyah vs Al FahaheelFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 3.35 · +9.8% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Hammam Lif vs BizertinFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Augsburg vs Schalke 04Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3:0 | WON |
| FC Andorra vs EibarFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Hamarkameratene vs KristiansundFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Mansfield Town vs Luton TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 5-2 | LOST |
| Flora Tallinn vs Paide LinnameeskondFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan AthleticFootball · League 1 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| AVS vs FeirenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Freiburg vs Werder BremenFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Virtus vs La FioritaFootball · Championship | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Slovan Liberec vs Hradec KraloveFootball · Superleague | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.