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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3315

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3316

3315 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−190.1u

over 3315u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%58254.6%51%–59%51%–59%−1.4pp
60–70%avg claim 66%128361.6%59%–64%59%–64%−4.7pp
70–80%avg claim 75%127070.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17173.7%67%–80%67%–80%−6.7pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−7pp

213

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3315

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance171768.1%−82.2u
Match winner159960.5%−107.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League61067.2%−17.6u
League 127667.4%−8.9u
Superleague27060.7%−35.6u
MLB↗MLB league page14660.3%+15.1u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28865.9%−3.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Serie A5754.4%−10.8u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3316 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Zilina 2

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Tamworth vs Fylde

Football · National league

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Portsmouth vs QPR

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Cheltenham Town vs Rotherham

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Yeovil Town vs Carlisle United

Football · National league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Puiu vs Kiffen

Football · League 3. Group A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-6

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Gateshead vs Woking

Football · National league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Blackpool vs Wycombe Wanderers

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Aberdeen vs Dundee

Football · League Cup. Round of 16

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6d 18h before

Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead Town

Football · National League. South

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Bristol City vs Millwall

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Gillingham vs Walsall

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Limavady United vs Carrick Rangers

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Kidderminster vs Eastleigh

Football · National league

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Lyn vs Odd

Football · Division 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Linfield vs Glentoran

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Afumati vs Chindia Targoviste

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 25m before

Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.73 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 25m before

Guarani Paraguari vs Sol de America

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Spakenburg vs Katwijk

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Leiria vs Benfica 2

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogels

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Cerro Montevideo vs Albion Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
ViOn Zlate Moravce vs Zilina 2Football · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-0WON
Tamworth vs FyldeFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-2LOST
Portsmouth vs QPRFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-3LOST
Cheltenham Town vs RotherhamFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-1LOST
Yeovil Town vs Carlisle UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Puiu vs KiffenFootball · League 3. Group A2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—5-6LOST
Gateshead vs WokingFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0WON
Blackpool vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Aberdeen vs DundeeFootball · League Cup. Round of 162026-08-15first seen 6d 18h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-0WON
Farnborough vs Hemel Hempstead TownFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-2LOST
Bristol City vs MillwallFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2LOST
Gillingham vs WalsallFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-3LOST
Limavady United vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2LOST
Kidderminster vs EastleighFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-0LOST
Lyn vs OddFootball · Division 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—5-1LOST
Linfield vs GlentoranFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-1LOST
Elgin City vs Kelty HeartsFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—4-1LOST
Afumati vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 25m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-3WON
Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia WarszawaFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 25m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.73 · +3.6% CLV1-0LOST
Guarani Paraguari vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Spakenburg vs KatwijkFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0WON
Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi SundownsFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-1WON
Leiria vs Benfica 2Football · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Kozakken Boys vs IJsselmeervogelsFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-2LOST
Cerro Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-1WON

1201–1225 of 1717· 1170 won / 547 lost · −82.2u · −4.8% yield · of 3316 total

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