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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3298

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3299

3298 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−189.5u

over 3298u staked

Yield

−5.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 45%6———
50–60%avg claim 56%57854.5%50%–59%50%–59%−1.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%127861.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%126370.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%17073.5%66%–80%66%–80%−6.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3102

Sept 26

−7pp

196

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3298

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±78.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 88 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance171268.2%−81.5u
Match winner158760.5%−108.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League60567.1%−18.5u
League 127567.6%−7.9u
Superleague26760.7%−35.7u
MLB↗MLB league page14560.0%+14.1u
League 214260.6%−17.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3299 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Petrzalka vs Tatran Presov

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Dynamo Malzenice vs Povazska Bystrica

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

First Vienna vs Liefering

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Unicov vs Zbrojovka Brno 2

Football · League 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Bohemians Prague 1905 2 vs Slavia 3 Prague

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Viktoria Zizkov vs Banik Ostrava 2

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Bacau vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 54m before

Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan City

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 26m before

Heidelberg United U23 vs Hume City U23

Football · U23. Victoria. National Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 10h before

Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks

Football · New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Belconnen United vs Canberra Olympic

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Kahibah vs Cooks Hill United

Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown Rosebud

Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

FC Maitland vs Edgeworth Eagles

Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Sacramento Republic vs Lexington

Football · USL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Atlas vs Tigres Monterrey

Football · Liga MX

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City

Football · MLS

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Orange County vs Louisville City

Football · USL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Deportivo Saprissa vs Cartagines

Football · Premier Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs Birmingham Legion

Football · USL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Nashville vs Inter Miami

Football · MLS

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Platense vs Boca Juniors

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Juventude RS vs Fortaleza

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Guayaquil City vs Libertad Loja

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Guabira vs The Strongest

Football · Primera division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Petrzalka vs Tatran PresovFootball · League 22026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-4LOST
Dynamo Malzenice vs Povazska BystricaFootball · League 22026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-2WON
First Vienna vs LieferingFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-2WON
Unicov vs Zbrojovka Brno 2Football · League 32026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-2LOST
Bohemians Prague 1905 2 vs Slavia 3 PragueFootball · League 32026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-3WON
Viktoria Zizkov vs Banik Ostrava 2Football · League 22026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-4LOST
Bacau vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 22026-08-16first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-2WON
Canberra Juventus vs Queanbeyan CityFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 26m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2WON
Heidelberg United U23 vs Hume City U23Football · U23. Victoria. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 10h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-2LOST
Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland SharksFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0WON
Belconnen United vs Canberra OlympicFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-1LOST
Kahibah vs Cooks Hill UnitedFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-4WON
Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown RosebudFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-3LOST
FC Maitland vs Edgeworth EaglesFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—2-1WON
Sacramento Republic vs LexingtonFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Atlas vs Tigres MonterreyFootball · Liga MX2026-08-16first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1WON
San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-3WON
Orange County vs Louisville CityFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-3LOST
Deportivo Saprissa vs CartaginesFootball · Premier Division2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-2WON
Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs Birmingham LegionFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-3LOST
Nashville vs Inter MiamiFootball · MLS2026-08-16first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—4-1WON
Platense vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
Juventude RS vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
Guayaquil City vs Libertad LojaFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-2WON
Guabira vs The StrongestFootball · Primera division2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—3-1WON

1076–1100 of 1712· 1167 won / 545 lost · −81.5u · −4.8% yield · of 3299 total

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