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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3270

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3271

3270 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−181.5u

over 3270u staked

Yield

−5.6%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%57254.7%51%–59%51%–59%−1.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%127061.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.5pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125470.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.1pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16874.4%67%–80%67%–80%−6.0pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3101

Sept 26

−5pp

169

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3270

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance170268.3%−78.4u
Match winner156960.7%−103.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League59667.4%−15.2u
League 127067.8%−7.3u
Superleague26360.8%−34.4u
MLB↗MLB league page14360.1%+14.2u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3271 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Chindia Targoviste vs Metaloglobus Bucharest

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Schoningen vs Eintracht Norderstedt

Football · Regional League. North

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Vizela vs Leiria

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 47m before

Banik Lehota vs Dynamo Malzenice

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Arendal vs Pors Grenland

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Skive vs Nykobing

Football · 2 division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 47m before

Blansko vs Hodonin

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 56m before

FA Povltavska vs Pisek

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 41m before

Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula Power

Football · Queensland. National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Concordia Chiajna vs Bihor Oradea

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 26m before

Grindavik vs Grotta

Football · Division 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

All Boys vs Nueva Chicago

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Madryn

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Central Norte vs Gimnasia Tiro

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.75 · −1.8% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy vs Chaco For Ever

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Vasco da Gama RJ vs Santos SP

Football · Serie A

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Radnik Bijeljina vs Zrinjski Mostar

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Cobresal vs Deportes Concepcion

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Floresta vs Anapolis

Football · Serie C

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Mardin BB vs Antalyaspor

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 24m before

Amedspor vs Erzurumspor BB

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 24m before

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 9m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Chindia Targoviste vs Metaloglobus BucharestFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-1WON
Schoningen vs Eintracht NorderstedtFootball · Regional League. North2026-08-09first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Vizela vs LeiriaFootball · Division 22026-08-09first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0WON
Banik Lehota vs Dynamo MalzeniceFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-1WON
Arendal vs Pors GrenlandFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-1WON
Skive vs NykobingFootball · 2 division2026-08-08first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-3LOST
Blansko vs HodoninFootball · League 32026-08-08first seen 56m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-3WON
FA Povltavska vs PisekFootball · League 32026-08-08first seen 41m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-3WON
Gold Coast Knights vs Peninsula PowerFootball · Queensland. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 26m beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-2WON
Concordia Chiajna vs Bihor OradeaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 26m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0WON
Grindavik vs GrottaFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
All Boys vs Nueva ChicagoFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-17first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0WON
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atletico TucumanFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1WON
Cienciano vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-0WON
San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-2WON
Central Norte vs Gimnasia TiroFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.75 · −1.8% CLV0-0WON
Gimnasia y Esgrima Jujuy vs Chaco For EverFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0LOST
Vasco da Gama RJ vs Santos SPFootball · Serie A2026-08-16first seen 8m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-3LOST
Orense vs Deportivo CuencaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 8m before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-0WON
Radnik Bijeljina vs Zrinjski MostarFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-5WON
Cobresal vs Deportes ConcepcionFootball · Serie A2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-2WON
Floresta vs AnapolisFootball · Serie C2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0LOST
Mardin BB vs AntalyasporFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 24m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-0LOST
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 24m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-0WON
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav RuseFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 9m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-2LOST

976–1000 of 1702· 1162 won / 540 lost · −78.4u · −4.6% yield · of 3271 total

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