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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3267

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3268

3267 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−181.4u

over 3267u staked

Yield

−5.6%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%57254.7%51%–59%51%–59%−1.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%126961.7%59%–64%59%–64%−4.5pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16874.4%67%–80%67%–80%−6.0pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3101

Sept 26

−5pp

166

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3267

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance170068.3%−77.7u
Match winner156860.6%−103.6u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League59567.4%−15.7u
League 126867.9%−6.6u
Superleague26360.8%−34.4u
MLB↗MLB league page14360.1%+14.2u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3268 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Godoy Cruz vs CD Maipu

Football · Primera Nacional

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Bedford Town vs Darlington

Football · National league. North

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Mansfield Town vs Doncaster Rovers

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Crusaders vs Ballymena United

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Peterhead vs East Fife

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Celik Zenica vs Siroki Brijeg

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 3h before

Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

KAMAZ vs Volga Ulyanovsk

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Salisbury vs Hampton and Richmond Borough

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Fenerbahce vs Lyon

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 50m before

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Talleres Cordoba

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 23m before

Centro Espanol vs Central Cordoba Rosario

Football · Primera C Metropolitana

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Real Frontera vs Deportivo Lara

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Rosengard (w) vs Eskilstuna United (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

SalPa vs FC Jazz

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Vrsac vs Naftagas

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Maccabi Bnei Reine vs Bnei Yehuda

Football · Liga Leumit

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-18 · first seen 3h before

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Esteghlal Tehran

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 2h before

Torquay United vs Weston SM

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-18 · first seen 35m before

Maidstone United vs Folkestone Invicta

Football · National League. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 35m before

Slough Town vs Farnham Town

Football · National League. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 35m before

Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens

Football · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-18 · first seen 50m before

Oxford City vs Harborough Town

Football · National league. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 35m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Godoy Cruz vs CD MaipuFootball · Primera Nacional2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-2LOST
Bedford Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-3LOST
Mansfield Town vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-1WON
Crusaders vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-1LOST
Peterhead vs East FifeFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-1WON
Celik Zenica vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2LOST
Voluntari vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 12026-08-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-2WON
KAMAZ vs Volga UlyanovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-09first seen 27m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-2LOST
Salisbury vs Hampton and Richmond BoroughFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—5-0WON
Fenerbahce vs LyonFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg2026-08-18first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-1WON
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Talleres CordobaFootball · Premier League2026-08-18first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—3-1WON
Centro Espanol vs Central Cordoba RosarioFootball · Primera C Metropolitana2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-2WON
Real Frontera vs Deportivo LaraFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 36m beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-2LOST
Sevilla vs Rayo VallecanoFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-15first seen 36m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1WON
Rosengard (w) vs Eskilstuna United (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-15first seen 54m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1LOST
SalPa vs FC JazzFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 54m beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2WON
JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2Football · League 12026-08-08first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-0WON
Vrsac vs NaftagasFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-0WON
Maccabi Bnei Reine vs Bnei YehudaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-4LOST
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Esteghlal TehranFootball · Premier League2026-08-18first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1WON
Torquay United vs Weston SMFootball · National League. South2026-08-18first seen 35m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Maidstone United vs Folkestone InvictaFootball · National League. South2026-08-18first seen 35m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-1WON
Slough Town vs Farnham TownFootball · National League. South2026-08-18first seen 35m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-1WON
Levski Sofia vs AEK AthensFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg2026-08-18first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-0WON
Oxford City vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-18first seen 35m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON

826–850 of 1700· 1161 won / 539 lost · −77.7u · −4.6% yield · of 3268 total

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