Angel City (w) vs Washington Spirit (w)
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3262
3261 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−180.7u
over 3261u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 569 | 54.7%51%–59% | −1.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1266 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
160
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1700 | 68.3% | −77.7u |
| Match winner | 1562 | 60.7% | −103.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 143 | 60.1% | +14.2u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3262 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · South Australia. National Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 7h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 42m before
Football · Liga MX
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6d 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division Nationale
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel City (w) vs Washington Spirit (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Southport vs BuxtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| FC Gwangju vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| West Adelaide vs Playford City PatriotsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sturt Lions vs Campbelltown CityFootball · South Australia. National Premier League | first seen 7h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Otelul GalatiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Aluminium Arak vs Chador MaluFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Jong Ajax vs EmmenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
| Gagra vs SpaeriFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Zemun vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Inhulets Petrove vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Lorenskog vs Eidsvold TurnFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-7 | WON |
| Horni Redice vs Mlada Boleslav 2Football · League 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-6 | WON |
| Ljungskile vs Osters IFFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Lillestrom vs RosenborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Schwarz Weiss Bregenz vs KapfenbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Karlsruher vs Arminia BielefeldFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Jaiyq vs Taraz KaratauFootball · League 1 | first seen 42m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Club America vs Atletico San LuisFootball · Liga MX | first seen 6d 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| River Plate vs Argentinos JuniorsFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| 07 Vestur vs B-36 TorshavnFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Mondor-Les-Bains vs DudelangeFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Havirov vs Karvina 2Football · League 3 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs Sepsi Sfantu GheorgheFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.