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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3260

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3261

3260 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.7%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−179.7u

over 3260u staked

Yield

−5.5%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%56854.8%51%–59%51%–59%−1.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%126661.8%59%–64%59%–64%−4.5pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16874.4%67%–80%67%–80%−6.0pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3101

Sept 26

−5pp

159

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3260

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance170068.3%−77.7u
Match winner156160.7%−102.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League59567.4%−15.7u
League 126867.9%−6.6u
Superleague26360.8%−34.4u
MLB↗MLB league page14360.1%+14.2u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3261 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Vsetin vs Unicov

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Forest Green Rovers vs Boreham Wood

Football · National league

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Millwall vs Norwich City

Football · Championship

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Doncaster Rovers vs Barnsley

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Lincoln City vs Portsmouth

Football · Championship

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Sutton United vs Hartlepool United

Football · National league

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Ningbo Professional vs Yanbian Longding

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel Kobe

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam

Football · K League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

NWS Spirit vs Southern Districts Raiders

Football · New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 19m before

Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle City

Football · Western Australia. National Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 55m before

Armadale vs Perth RedStar

Football · Western Australia. National Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 55m before

Dandenong City vs Preston Lions

Football · Victoria.National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 55m before

Stirling Macedonia vs Western Knights

Football · Western Australia. National Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 55m before

Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City

Football · New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Altona Magic vs Avondale

Football · Victoria.National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta Lendava

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 10m before

Admira Wacker Modling vs First Vienna

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 25m before

Vysocina Jihlava vs MAS Taborsko

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 2h before

Wacker Innsbruck vs St Polten

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 3h before

Alcione vs Renate

Football · Serie C. Group A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-21 · first seen 55m before

Deportivo Capiata vs Guairena

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-21 · first seen 55m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Vsetin vs UnicovFootball · League 32026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON
Forest Green Rovers vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-3LOST
Millwall vs Norwich CityFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-0WON
Doncaster Rovers vs BarnsleyFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-0WON
Lincoln City vs PortsmouthFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-3LOST
Sutton United vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-1LOST
Wuhan Three Towns vs Tianjin Jinmen TigerFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-0WON
Ningbo Professional vs Yanbian LongdingFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-3WON
Yokohama F-Marinos vs Vissel KobeFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0LOST
Ansan Greeners vs SeongnamFootball · K League 22026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-2WON
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba OsakaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-1WON
Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo VerdyFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON
NWS Spirit vs Southern Districts RaidersFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 19m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
Olympic Kingsway vs Fremantle CityFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1LOST
Armadale vs Perth RedStarFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-4LOST
Dandenong City vs Preston LionsFootball · Victoria.National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-0WON
Stirling Macedonia vs Western KnightsFootball · Western Australia. National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-1WON
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George CityFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—2-1WON
Altona Magic vs AvondaleFootball · Victoria.National Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-2WON
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague2026-08-21first seen 10m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-0LOST
Admira Wacker Modling vs First ViennaFootball · League 12026-08-21first seen 25m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1LOST
Vysocina Jihlava vs MAS TaborskoFootball · League 22026-08-21first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1WON
Wacker Innsbruck vs St PoltenFootball · League 12026-08-21first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-0LOST
Alcione vs RenateFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-08-21first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-1WON
Deportivo Capiata vs GuairenaFootball · Division 22026-08-21first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-0WON

701–725 of 1700· 1161 won / 539 lost · −77.7u · −4.6% yield · of 3261 total

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