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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3260

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3261

3260 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.7%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−179.7u

over 3260u staked

Yield

−5.5%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%56854.8%51%–59%51%–59%−1.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%126661.8%59%–64%59%–64%−4.5pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16874.4%67%–80%67%–80%−6.0pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3101

Sept 26

−5pp

159

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3260

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance170068.3%−77.7u
Match winner156160.7%−102.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League59567.4%−15.7u
League 126867.9%−6.6u
Superleague26360.8%−34.4u
MLB↗MLB league page14360.1%+14.2u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3261 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

FC San Antonio vs Oakland Roots

Football · USL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 48m before

Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Maritimo vs Academico Viseu

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Loudoun United vs New Mexico United

Football · USL

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 6d 4h before

Queretaro vs Toluca

Football · Liga MX

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 21h before

Troyes vs Paris FC

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Nice vs Lorient

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Ituzaingo vs Deportivo Merlo

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Argentino Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Talleres Remedios vs Excursionistas

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Bucaramanga

Football · Serie A

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.15 · +37.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Colchester United vs Oldham

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Milton Keynes Dons vs Huddersfield

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Airdrieonians vs Ross County

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Exeter City vs Accrington Stanley

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Volta Redonda vs Floresta

Football · Serie C

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Empoli vs Cremonese

Football · Serie B

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Uberlandia vs ABC Natal

Football · Serie D. Semi-finals. First leg

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello

Football · Primera Division. Group stage

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Ituano vs Paysandu

Football · Serie C

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Sudtirol vs Virtus Entella

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
FC San Antonio vs Oakland RootsFootball · USL2026-08-23first seen 48m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1LOST
Cerrito vs Uruguay MontevideoFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—3-0WON
Maritimo vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-2WON
Loudoun United vs New Mexico UnitedFootball · USL2026-08-22first seen 6d 4h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
Queretaro vs TolucaFootball · Liga MX2026-08-22first seen 21h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2WON
Troyes vs Paris FCFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-2WON
Nice vs LorientFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-0WON
Ituzaingo vs Deportivo MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-0WON
Argentino Merlo vs Arsenal SarandiFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-0WON
Talleres Remedios vs ExcursionistasFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-22first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-0WON
Independiente vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil CityFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-3WON
Deportes Tolima vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 3.15 · +37.0% CLV0-0WON
Colchester United vs OldhamFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1LOST
Milton Keynes Dons vs HuddersfieldFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-1WON
Airdrieonians vs Ross CountyFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—1-3WON
Exeter City vs Accrington StanleyFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—2-0WON
Volta Redonda vs FlorestaFootball · Serie C2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2WON
Empoli vs CremoneseFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0LOST
Uberlandia vs ABC NatalFootball · Serie D. Semi-finals. First leg2026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-0WON
Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Puerto CabelloFootball · Primera Division. Group stage2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Ituano vs PaysanduFootball · Serie C2026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Sudtirol vs Virtus EntellaFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON

601–625 of 1700· 1161 won / 539 lost · −77.7u · −4.6% yield · of 3261 total

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