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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3260

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3261

3260 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.7%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−179.7u

over 3260u staked

Yield

−5.5%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%56854.8%51%–59%51%–59%−1.3pp
60–70%avg claim 66%126661.8%59%–64%59%–64%−4.5pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16874.4%67%–80%67%–80%−6.0pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3101

Sept 26

−5pp

159

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3260

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance170068.3%−77.7u
Match winner156160.7%−102.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League59567.4%−15.7u
League 126867.9%−6.6u
Superleague26360.8%−34.4u
MLB↗MLB league page14360.1%+14.2u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5653.6%−11.0u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3261 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto Cordoba

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Parma vs Cagliari

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 42m before

Halifax Wanderers vs Vancouver

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Mladost Donja Gorica vs Petrovac

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Mura vs Koper

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Vitkovice vs Vrchovina

Football · League 3

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Cove Rangers vs Peterhead

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Ajman vs Hatta Dubai

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United

Football · Championship

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Slavia Mozyr vs Gomel

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

SalPa vs OLS Oulu

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Cacahuatique vs Municipal Limeno

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Puerto Montt vs Iquique

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Sydney Olympic vs Marconi Stallions

Football · New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Football · Division 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford City

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Wycombe Wanderers vs Plymouth Argyle

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

South Hobart vs Devonport City

Football · Tasmania. National Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Ipswich Town vs Sunderland

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Cruz Azul vs Atlas

Football · Liga MX

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 52m before

IJsselmeervogels vs Quick Boys

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Katwijk vs Hoek

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 57m before

Herediano vs Sporting San Jose

Football · Premier Division

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Atletico Tucuman vs Instituto CordobaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Parma vs CagliariFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 42m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-1LOST
Halifax Wanderers vs VancouverFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-0LOST
Mladost Donja Gorica vs PetrovacFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Mura vs KoperFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-1WON
Vitkovice vs VrchovinaFootball · League 32026-08-22first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-1LOST
Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton TownFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0WON
Cove Rangers vs PeterheadFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-0LOST
Ajman vs Hatta DubaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—4-3WON
Raith Rovers vs Ayr UnitedFootball · Championship2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0LOST
Slavia Mozyr vs GomelFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
SalPa vs OLS OuluFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—4-1LOST
Cacahuatique vs Municipal LimenoFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-3LOST
Puerto Montt vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-4WON
Sydney Olympic vs Marconi StallionsFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1WON
Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden MaasmechelenFootball · Division 22026-08-22first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-1LOST
Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford CityFootball · National League. South2026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Wycombe Wanderers vs Plymouth ArgyleFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-1WON
South Hobart vs Devonport CityFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—0-3LOST
Kelty Hearts vs DumbartonFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-1WON
Ipswich Town vs SunderlandFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—2-1WON
Cruz Azul vs AtlasFootball · Liga MX2026-08-23first seen 52m before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—0-2LOST
IJsselmeervogels vs Quick BoysFootball · Division 22026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-1WON
Katwijk vs HoekFootball · Division 22026-08-22first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-1WON
Herediano vs Sporting San JoseFootball · Premier Division2026-08-23first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-3LOST

576–600 of 1700· 1161 won / 539 lost · −77.7u · −4.6% yield · of 3261 total

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