Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 4-0
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3260
3259 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−178.7u
over 3259u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 567 | 54.9%51%–59% | −1.2pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1266 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
158
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1700 | 68.3% | −77.7u |
| Match winner | 1560 | 60.7% | −101.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 142 | 60.6% | +15.2u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 56 | 53.6% | −11.0u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3260 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Leumit
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division Nationale
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 51m before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 34m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 19m before
Football · Challenge League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTMFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Spartak Moscow vs Zenit SPbFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| LKS Lodz vs Stal MielecFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| OFI vs VolosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Venezia vs LecceFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Campobasso vs PianeseFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Parnu Vaprus vs Flora TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Kfar ShalemFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Norrby vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Teplice vs Zbrojovka BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Puszcza Niepolomice vs Unia SkierniewiceFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Real Sireti vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Brommapojkarna vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Dynamo Makhachkala vs KrasnodarFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Victoria Rosport vs WiltzFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Arlanda vs FBK KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-1 | WON |
| Skovde AIK vs Kristianstad FCFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 51m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Danubio vs Racing MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 51m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo SantaniFootball · Division 2 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Brage vs United NordicFootball · League 1 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie LubinFootball · Superleague | first seen 34m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Miedz Legnica vs Arka GdyniaFootball · League 1 | first seen 19m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Yverdon Sport vs AarauFootball · Challenge League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Koge vs Kolding IFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Akron Tolyatti vs Krylia SovetovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.