Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs El Paso Locomotive
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 48m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3255
3254 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.7%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−179.0u
over 3254u staked
Yield
−5.5%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 564 | 54.8%51%–59% | −1.2pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1264 | 61.8%59%–64% | −4.5pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1252 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3101
Sept 26
−5pp
153
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1698 | 68.3% | −77.2u |
| Match winner | 1557 | 60.7% | −101.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 595 | 67.4% | −15.7u |
| League 1 | 268 | 67.9% | −6.6u |
| Superleague | 263 | 60.8% | −34.4u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 141 | 60.3% | +14.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 62 | 64.5% | −3.2u |
| Championship | 56 | 64.3% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3255 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 48m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs Switchbacks vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL | first seen 48m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Giana Erminio vs AlbinoleffeFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Benevento vs ModenaFootball · Serie B | first seen 3m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Antalyaspor vs PendiksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Hammam-Sousse vs US MonastirFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Livingston vs DunfermlineFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Nantong Zhiyun vs Shaanxi UnionFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| CFR Cluj vs FCSBFootball · League 1 | first seen 22m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Bizertin vs AS MarsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Armenio vs Real PilarFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Dila Gori vs Torpedo KutaisiFootball · National League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| B-68 Toftir vs SkalaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Chapecoense vs Sao PauloFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Criciuma vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Guabira vs Blooming Santa CruzFootball · Primera division | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Deportivo Mixco vs Deportivo GuastatoyaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros VillavicencioFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Marathon vs Real EspanaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Esteghlal Tehran vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Sao Bernardo vs Nautico CapibaribeFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| New England Revolution vs New York CityFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Melgar vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Delfin vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.