Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 8m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
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AwayMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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1XDouble Chance
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Football · Superleague
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· first seen 2h before
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1XDouble Chance
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· first seen 1h before
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1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs MariborFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Viktoria Plzen vs Fastav ZlinFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Dacia Buiucani vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Radnik Surdulica vs Macva SabacFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kasimpasa SK vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.80 · −6.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Slovan Bratislava vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Nafta Lendava vs CeljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.75 · −17.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Skalica vs KosiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Slovacko vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Kokand 1912 vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| KFUM Oslo vs LillestromFootball · Superleague | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian YingboFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan LongmenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| FC Seoul vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Newroz vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 4.00 · 0.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Galatasaray vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.18 · −10.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Viborg vs AGF AarhusFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Rosenborg vs VikingFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Nomme United vs Tammeka TartuFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs Mashal MubarekFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| VPS Vaasa vs Turun PalloseuraFootball · Superleague | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Qingdao West Coast vs Chongqing Tongliang LongFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.03 · −1.9% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao ManateeFootball · Superleague | first seen 8h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.40 · +10.2% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
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