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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3179

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3180

3179 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−164.3u

over 3179u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%54255.5%51%–60%51%–60%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%124362.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.2pp
70–80%avg claim 75%122270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16674.1%67%–80%67%–80%−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+1pp

79

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3179

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance166168.5%−72.0u
Match winner151961.1%−92.3u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League57067.2%−16.2u
League 125968.7%−3.3u
Superleague25661.3%−31.5u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page12862.5%+18.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6165.6%−2.2u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u
Championship5263.5%−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki Nis

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Zimbru vs Milsami

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Real Sireti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Harju Laagri vs Levadia Tallinn

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kocaelispor

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Randers vs Copenhagen

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Brann vs Hamarkameratene

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Molde vs Tromso

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin Michalovce

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.42 · −9.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Sarpsborg 08 vs Sandefjord

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Nasaf vs Pakhtakor

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

Oulu vs Inter Turku

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

Lyngby vs Midtjylland

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

HJK Helsinki vs Jaro

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Banik Ostrava vs Artis Brno

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Aalesund vs Valerenga

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 28m before

Odense vs Horsens

Football · Superleague

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 4h before

Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon FC

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Cukaricki vs OFK Beograd

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs Trencin

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Genclerbirligi vs Fenerbahce

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 23m before

Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 8m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Zimbru vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV4-2WON
Real Sireti vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV1-1LOST
Harju Laagri vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV1-2WON
Istanbul Basaksehir vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV2-0WON
Randers vs CopenhagenFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV0-4WON
Brann vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—3-0WON
Molde vs TromsoFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV3-2LOST
Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.42 · −9.6% CLV2-0WON
Sarpsborg 08 vs SandefjordFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Nasaf vs PakhtakorFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-1LOST
Oulu vs Inter TurkuFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-3WON
FC Lahti vs KuPS KuopioFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON
Lyngby vs MidtjyllandFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV1-1LOST
HJK Helsinki vs JaroFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 58m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Banik Ostrava vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 58m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Aalesund vs ValerengaFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 28m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—5-5WON
Odense vs HorsensFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2LOST
Incheon United vs Gimcheon SangmuFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-1WON
Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon FCFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV2-3LOST
Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonbuk MotorsFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-2WON
Cukaricki vs OFK BeogradFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-0WON
Zeleziarne Podbrezova vs TrencinFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV2-1WON
Genclerbirligi vs FenerbahceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.43 · −11.7% CLV2-1LOST
Widzew Lodz vs Korona KielceFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST

151–175 of 256· 157 won / 99 lost · −31.5u · −12.3% yield · of 3180 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.