Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Port
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3183
3182 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−165.9u
over 3182u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1245 | 61.9%59%–65% | −4.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1223 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+0pp
82
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1663 | 68.4% | −72.6u |
| Match winner | 1520 | 61.0% | −93.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 572 | 67.0% | −18.2u |
| League 1 | 260 | 68.8% | −2.9u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3183 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai PortFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Henan Songshan Longmen vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Servette vs Grasshoppers ZurichFootball · Superleague | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Spartak Trnava vs Dukla Banska BystricaFootball · Superleague | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Celje vs Olimpija LjubljanaFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.05 · −12.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Korona Kielce vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.55 · +13.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.78 · −8.7% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Radnichki Kragujevac vs ZemunFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Real Sireti vs BaltiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.60 · +46.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Jaro vs VPS VaasaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Ruzomberok vs Zeleziarne PodbrezovaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.50 · −5.7% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| IK Start vs FredrikstadFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Lausanne Sports vs Young BoysFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.92 · +16.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Politehnica UTM vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43from 2.60 · −21.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Teplice vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 5-5 | WON |
| Viking vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Radomiak Radom vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu RongchengFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Valerenga vs Bodo/GlimtFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Gimcheon Sangmu vs FC SeoulFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Anyang vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HyundaiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Bucheon 1995 vs FC GwangjuFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Qingdao Manatee vs Shanghai ShenhuaFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Wisla Krakow vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
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