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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3178

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3178

3178 graded

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−164.8u

over 3178u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%54255.5%51%–60%51%–60%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%124262.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%122270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16674.1%67%–80%67%–80%−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+1pp

78

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3178

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance166168.5%−72.0u
Match winner151761.0%−92.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League57067.2%−16.2u
League 125968.7%−3.3u
Superleague25661.3%−31.5u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page12862.5%+18.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6165.6%−2.2u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u
Championship5263.5%−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3178 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Iquique vs Antofagasta

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 53m before

America Mineiro vs Athletic Minas Gerais

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

CRB vs Novorizontino

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Deportes Temuco vs Deportes Recoleta

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-18 · first seen 23m before

Union Espanola vs San Marcos Arica

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 5h before

Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 3d 2h before

Deportes Copiapo vs Curico Unido

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 3d 2h before

Magallanes vs Cobreloa

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-12 · first seen 47m before

Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa

Football · Serie B

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Operario Ferroviario vs Avai

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 50m before

Juventude RS vs Fortaleza

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Rangers Talca vs Magallanes

Football · Serie B

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Criciuma vs Goias

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Ceara Fortaleza vs Cuiaba

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 6m before

Iquique vs Deportes Copiapo

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 17m before

Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa Cruz

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.00 · −6.1% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-14 · first seen 17m before

Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-13 · first seen 17m before

Cuiaba vs Fortaleza

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Novorizontino vs Juventude RS

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Nautico Capibaribe vs Atletico Goianiense

Football · Serie B

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis Quillota

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Athletic Minas Gerais vs Criciuma

Football · Serie B

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.77 · −0.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

Cobreloa vs Iquique

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 2h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Iquique vs AntofagastaFootball · Serie B2026-08-17first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-1WON
America Mineiro vs Athletic Minas GeraisFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-3WON
CRB vs NovorizontinoFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV1-1LOST
Deportes Temuco vs Deportes RecoletaFootball · Serie B2026-08-18first seen 23m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-1WON
Union Espanola vs San Marcos AricaFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV2-1LOST
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B2026-08-17first seen 3d 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV0-2WON
Deportes Copiapo vs Curico UnidoFootball · Serie B2026-08-17first seen 3d 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-0LOST
Magallanes vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B2026-08-12first seen 47m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-2WON
Union San Felipe vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.25 · −2.2% CLV0-1WON
Operario Ferroviario vs AvaiFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 50m before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-2LOST
Juventude RS vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
Rangers Talca vs MagallanesFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.00 · +7.1% CLV3-2LOST
Criciuma vs GoiasFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.75 · +4.2% CLV1-0WON
Ceara Fortaleza vs CuiabaFootball · Serie B2026-08-15first seen 6m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-3LOST
Iquique vs Deportes CopiapoFootball · Serie B2026-08-14first seen 17m before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—4-0WON
Curico Unido vs Deportes Santa CruzFootball · Serie B2026-08-14first seen 17m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.00 · −6.1% CLV1-2LOST
Antofagasta vs Santiago WanderersFootball · Serie B2026-08-13first seen 17m before1XDouble Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-0WON
Cuiaba vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-1WON
Novorizontino vs Juventude RSFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 45m before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-1LOST
Nautico Capibaribe vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 45m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
Athletic Minas Gerais vs CriciumaFootball · Serie B2026-08-09first seen 27m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-0LOST
Botafogo SP vs America MineiroFootball · Serie B2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.77 · −0.6% CLV2-1WON
Cobreloa vs IquiqueFootball · Serie B2026-08-08first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV1-1LOST

51–75 of 80· 46 won / 34 lost · −11.2u · −14.0% yield · of 3178 total

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