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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3179

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3180

3179 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−164.3u

over 3179u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%54255.5%51%–60%51%–60%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%124362.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.2pp
70–80%avg claim 75%122270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16674.1%67%–80%67%–80%−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+1pp

79

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3179

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance166168.5%−72.0u
Match winner151961.1%−92.3u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League57067.2%−16.2u
League 125968.7%−3.3u
Superleague25661.3%−31.5u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page12862.5%+18.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6165.6%−2.2u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u
Championship5263.5%−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Marumo Gallants vs TS Galaxy

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-25 · first seen 4h before

Neom vs Al-Qadsiah El-Khobar

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-24 · first seen 3h before

Shams Azar vs Aluminium Arak

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Dinamo Zagreb vs Varazdin

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 3m before

Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Dundee United vs Dundee

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-25 · first seen 7m before

Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo Minsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 1h before

Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr Babak

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-24 · first seen 2h before

Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-24 · first seen 3m before

Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 3m before

Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dnepr Mogilev

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 4h before

Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei Sakhnin

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-24 · first seen 3h before

Al-Kholood vs Al-Taawoun Buraydah

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

FAS vs Aguila San Miguel

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.52 · −6.2% CLV
Score
3-5

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

KI Klaksvik vs NSI Runavik

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 51m before

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 5h before

Dungannon Swifts vs Bangor

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Mosta vs Balzan

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 6m before

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

PSV vs Groningen

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 19m before

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Dhafra

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Rijeka vs Istra 1961

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Marumo Gallants vs TS GalaxyFootball · Premier League2026-08-25first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-3LOST
Neom vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-2WON
Shams Azar vs Aluminium ArakFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-2WON
Dinamo Zagreb vs VarazdinFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.42 · −8.4% CLV3-1WON
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—1-0LOST
Dundee United vs DundeeFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-2WON
Lanus vs Argentinos JuniorsFootball · Premier League2026-08-25first seen 7m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-1WON
Isloch Minsk vs Dinamo MinskFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1-0LOST
Zob Ahan vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Breidablik vs Fram ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 3m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-4WON
Gil Vicente vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 3m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.68 · −4.0% CLV2-0WON
Torpedo-BelAZ vs Dnepr MogilevFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV0-0LOST
Maccabi Netanya vs Bnei SakhninFootball · Premier League2026-08-24first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
Al-Kholood vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—3-2WON
FAS vs Aguila San MiguelFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.08 · +0.5% CLV1-0WON
KA Akureyri vs KR ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.52 · −6.2% CLV3-5WON
KI Klaksvik vs NSI RunavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 51m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-2WON
Deportivo Garcilaso vs CuscoFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.70 · +3.8% CLV4-1LOST
Dungannon Swifts vs BangorFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.63 · +1.9% CLV2-0WON
Mosta vs BalzanFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 6m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1LOST
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.65 · +4.4% CLV1-0WON
PSV vs GroningenFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 19m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.33 · +6.4% CLV5-1WON
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al DhafraFootball · Premier League2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV2-0WON
Rijeka vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.43 · −1.4% CLV3-2WON

151–175 of 570· 383 won / 187 lost · −16.2u · −2.8% yield · of 3180 total

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