Academico Viseu vs Porto
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 8m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu vs PortoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel JerusalemFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Juventud Las Piedras vs Deportivo MaldonadoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Boston River vs Cerro MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.85 · −7.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Hamrun Spartans vs FlorianaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.38 · +3.8% CLV | 5:2 | WON |
| Kortrijk vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.92 · −12.7% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Al-Kholood vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.35 · −12.9% CLV | 1:0 | LOST |
| Halmstads vs Kalmar FFFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1:0 | LOST |
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polissya ZhytomyrFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Arouca vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.10 · +1.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Excelsior vs Sparta RotterdamFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Alverca vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Bangor vs Carrick RangersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Elfsborg vs DegerforsFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs BaranovichiFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hacken vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Kyoto Sanga vs Avispa FukuokaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo OsakaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.05 · −14.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F-MarinosFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano OkayamaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.45 · −10.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima AntlersFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.73 · −8.9% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| V-Varen Nagasaki vs TokyoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0:3 | WON |
| Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa ReysolFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.97 · +10.7% CLV | 0:1 | WON |
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