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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3248

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3249

3248 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.7%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−176.7u

over 3248u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%55954.9%51%–59%51%–59%−1.1pp
60–70%avg claim 66%126361.8%59%–64%59%–64%−4.4pp
70–80%avg claim 75%125270.9%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16874.4%67%–80%67%–80%−6.0pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3101

Sept 26

−4pp

147

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3248

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±77.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance169868.3%−77.2u
Match winner155160.8%−99.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League59467.3%−16.5u
League 126867.9%−6.6u
Superleague26360.8%−34.4u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page13761.3%+16.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6264.5%−3.2u
Championship5664.3%−4.4u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3249 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Melgar vs Cajamarca

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Breidablik vs Valur Reykjavik

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.55 · −16.2% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 55m before

Independiente vs Platense

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 19h before

Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 19h before

Benfica vs Academico Viseu

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 10m before

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.90 · −7.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 10m before

Zrinjski Mostar vs Celik Zenica

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 45m before

KA Akureyri vs Hafnarfjordur

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 0m before

Stjarnan vs Keflavik

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.45 · −2.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Moquegua

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

San Lorenzo Almagro vs Huracan

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Vikingur Reykjavik vs IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 4h before

Porto vs Alverca

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.17 · −1.7% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 3h before

Slaven Belupo vs Varazdin

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Anderlecht vs La Louviere

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Borac Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Shelbourne vs Saint Patrick's Athletic

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Marijampole

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Gomel vs Minsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 2h before

Rangers vs Hibernian

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Atyrau vs Aktobe

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Shirak Gyumri vs Noah

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-0WON
Melgar vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV2-4LOST
Breidablik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.55 · −16.2% CLV1-3LOST
Independiente vs PlatenseFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 19h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV0-1LOST
Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 19h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Benfica vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV2-2LOST
Gil Vicente vs Rio AveFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.90 · −7.3% CLV1-0WON
Zrinjski Mostar vs Celik ZenicaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 45m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo LuquenoFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 45m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—0-2LOST
KA Akureyri vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 0m beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-1WON
Stjarnan vs KeflavikFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 3.45 · −2.8% CLV1-0LOST
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0WON
Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-1WON
San Lorenzo Almagro vs HuracanFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-2WON
Vikingur Reykjavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV2-2LOST
Porto vs AlvercaFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.17 · −1.7% CLV2-0WON
Slaven Belupo vs VarazdinFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-4WON
Anderlecht vs La LouviereFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV2-1WON
Borac Banja Luka vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV3-1WON
Shelbourne vs Saint Patrick's AthleticFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—1-2WON
Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-3LOST
Gomel vs MinskFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-1LOST
Rangers vs HibernianFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV1-2LOST
Atyrau vs AktobeFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Shirak Gyumri vs NoahFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV3-4WON

476–500 of 594· 400 won / 194 lost · −16.5u · −2.8% yield · of 3249 total

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