Valletta vs Zabbar St. Patrick
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3213
3212 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.8%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−171.7u
over 3212u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 548 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.9pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1256 | 61.9%59%–65% | −4.4pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1234 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 168 | 74.4%67%–80% | −6.0pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
−3pp
112
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1679 | 68.5% | −71.6u |
| Match winner | 1534 | 60.8% | −100.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 582 | 67.0% | −18.5u |
| League 1 | 263 | 68.8% | −2.9u |
| Superleague | 259 | 61.4% | −31.8u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 130 | 61.5% | +16.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3213 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 23m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 38m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valletta vs Zabbar St. PatrickFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Alianza Lima vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Neman Grodno vs MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Alverca vs Estrela AmadoraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Elfsborg vs VasterasFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.78 · +12.7% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Atletico TucumanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Cienciano vs Deportivo GarcilasoFootball · Premier League | first seen 23m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Famalicao vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.72 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| HNK Gorica vs Hajduk SplitFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Orense vs Deportivo CuencaFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Radnik Bijeljina vs Zrinjski MostarFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-5 | WON |
| IB Vestmannaeyjar vs IA AkranesFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-4 | WON |
| Sarmiento vs HuracanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Lommel United vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Dynamo Brest vs Isloch MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Arouca vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Varazdin vs RijekaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Supra du Quebec vs Atletico OttawaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Dynamo Kiev vs Kolos KovalyovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.50 · −7.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Atyrau vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Sumgayit vs Neftchi BakuFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.72 · +8.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
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