Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 30m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26m before
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 26m before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
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· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 39m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelty Hearts vs Stirling AlbionFootball · League 2 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Maardu Linnameeskond vs ViimsiFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Targu Mures vs Cetatea SuceavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.35 · −4.9% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Satu-Mare vs ResitaFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| CSA Steaua Bucuresti vs Ramnicu ValceaFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Metalul Buzau vs AfumatiFootball · League 2 | first seen 26m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Prostejov vs KarvinaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Dukla Prague vs Hanacka Slavia KromerizFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.53 · −3.2% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Opava vs KladnoFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.60 · −1.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sellier and Bellot Vlasim vs Viktoria ZizkovFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Usti nad Labem vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Vysocina Jihlava vs PribramFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| KuPS 2 Kuopio vs Inter 2 TurkuFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Slavia 2 Prague vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.57 · −3.7% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Unirea Slobozia vs Gloria BistritaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| RoPS vs FC JazzFootball · League 2 | first seen 39m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
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