Teleoptik vs Napredak Krusevac
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3180
3179 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−164.3u
over 3179u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 542 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1243 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.2pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1222 | 70.9%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
79
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1661 | 68.5% | −72.0u |
| Match winner | 1519 | 61.1% | −92.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 570 | 67.2% | −16.2u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3180 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 24m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teleoptik vs Napredak KrusevacFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Botosani vs HunedoaraFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.15 · −8.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Igdir Belediyespor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Petrovac vs JezeroFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Mladost Donja Gorica vs Mornar BarFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Mansfield Town vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Peterhead vs East FifeFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| JaPS vs HakaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.63 · +7.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Voluntari vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Sundsvall vs HelsingborgFootball · League 1 | first seen 54m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| JDFS Alberts vs Riga 2Football · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Vrsac vs NaftagasFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Muglaspor vs BandirmasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 24m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Keciorengucu Ankara vs PendiksporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Kayserispor vs SivassporFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Falkenbergs vs NorrbyFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2Football · League 1 | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Erokspor vs SaryerFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Botev Vratsa vs Slavia SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.88 · −3.6% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza NiepolomiceFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Spartak Varna vs Septemvri SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Otrant vs PetrovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Ljungskile vs OddevoldFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.35 · +16.3% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Decic Tuzi vs BokeljFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.40 · −9.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
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