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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3161

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3161

3161 graded

Win rate

64.9%

95% CI 63%–67%

Profit

−165.0u

over 3161u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
40–50%avg claim 47%3———
50–60%avg claim 56%53555.5%51%–60%51%–60%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%123862.0%59%–65%59%–65%−4.3pp
70–80%avg claim 75%121671.0%68%–73%68%–73%−4.0pp
80–90%avg claim 80%16674.1%67%–80%67%–80%−6.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%3———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3100

Sept 26

+1pp

61

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3161

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance165468.5%−70.3u
Match winner150761.0%−94.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League56067.3%−15.1u
League 125968.7%−3.3u
Superleague25661.3%−31.5u
League 214161.0%−16.8u
MLB↗MLB league page12862.5%+18.4u
Division 19167.0%−1.4u
Division 28766.7%−2.7u
Serie B8057.5%−11.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page6165.6%−2.2u
Serie A5453.7%−10.5u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5362.3%−4.7u
Championship5263.5%−4.6u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3161 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 30m before

Istanbulspor vs Fatih Karagumruk

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Kayserispor vs Bursaspor

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

US Monastir vs Stade Tunisien

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Notts County vs Burton Albion

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Sheffield Wednesday vs Bromley

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV
Score
7-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Leyton Orient vs Barnsley

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 1h before

Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs CFR Cluj

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-29 · first seen 59m before

Blackpool vs Peterborough United

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.70 · −17.1% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

Nanjing City vs Guangxi Hengchen

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-29 · first seen 4h before

Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian Longding

Football · League 1

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Ljungskile vs Varnamo

Football · League 1

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-29 · first seen 3h before

Odra Opole vs LKS Lodz

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 17m before

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.72 · +6.2% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Kapfenberg vs Blau Weiss Linz

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.28 · −5.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.85 · −6.1% CLV
Score
0:2

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

JaPS vs KaPa

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.90 · −11.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Voluntari vs Otelul Galati

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.80 · +7.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Graficar Beograd vs Loznica

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-19 · first seen 1h before

FCSB vs Botosani

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 25m before

Batman Petrolspor vs Boluspor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 25m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Batman Petrolspor vs SivassporFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-1WON
Istanbulspor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-1WON
Kayserispor vs BursasporFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—1-2LOST
US Monastir vs Stade TunisienFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1WON
Notts County vs Burton AlbionFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.85 · −3.4% CLV2-1WON
Stockport County vs Wycombe WanderersFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—5-1WON
Sheffield Wednesday vs BromleyFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.73 · +1.8% CLV7-2WON
Leyton Orient vs BarnsleyFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV1-3LOST
Pogon Siedlce vs Stal MielecFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—2-0WON
Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs CFR ClujFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 59m beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-3WON
Blackpool vs Peterborough UnitedFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.70 · −17.1% CLV4-0WON
Milton Keynes Dons vs LeicesterFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—0-0WON
Nanjing City vs Guangxi HengchenFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-2WON
Shaanxi Union vs Yanbian LongdingFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—3-1LOST
Ljungskile vs VarnamoFootball · League 12026-08-29first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-1LOST
Odra Opole vs LKS LodzFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 47m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—0-0WON
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV2-0WON
Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.72 · +6.2% CLV2-3LOST
Kapfenberg vs Blau Weiss LinzFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.28 · −5.2% CLV2-1LOST
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri SofiaFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.85 · −6.1% CLV0:2LOST
JaPS vs KaPaFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.90 · −11.6% CLV0-0LOST
Voluntari vs Otelul GalatiFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.80 · +7.7% CLV2-2LOST
Graficar Beograd vs LoznicaFootball · League 12026-08-19first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-2WON
FCSB vs BotosaniFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Batman Petrolspor vs BolusporFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 25m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV2-0WON

26–50 of 259· 178 won / 81 lost · −3.3u · −1.3% yield · of 3161 total

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