IJsselmeervogels vs Quick Boys
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 57m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3161
3161 graded
Win rate
64.9%
95% CI 63%–67%
Profit
−165.0u
over 3161u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40–50%avg claim 47% | 3 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 535 | 55.5%51%–60% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1238 | 62.0%59%–65% | −4.3pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1216 | 71.0%68%–73% | −4.0pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 166 | 74.1%67%–80% | −6.3pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 3 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3100
Sept 26
+1pp
61
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±76.1u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 87 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1654 | 68.5% | −70.3u |
| Match winner | 1507 | 61.0% | −94.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 560 | 67.3% | −15.1u |
| League 1 | 259 | 68.7% | −3.3u |
| Superleague | 256 | 61.3% | −31.5u |
| League 2 | 141 | 61.0% | −16.8u |
| MLBMLB league page | 128 | 62.5% | +18.4u |
| Division 1 | 91 | 67.0% | −1.4u |
| Division 2 | 87 | 66.7% | −2.7u |
| Serie B | 80 | 57.5% | −11.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 61 | 65.6% | −2.2u |
| Serie A | 54 | 53.7% | −10.5u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 53 | 62.3% | −4.7u |
| Championship | 52 | 63.5% | −4.6u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3161 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · Division 2
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Football · Division 2
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Football · Division 2
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· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 58m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IJsselmeervogels vs Quick BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Katwijk vs HoekFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Comerciantes vs Union MinasFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 5.50+4509/24.50+4.50-0.22from 6.50 · +18.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Lusitania Lourosa vs TorreenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Atletico Tembetary vs Fernando de la MoraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Vizela vs AmaranteFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Kloetinge vs Kozakken BoysFootball · Division 2 | first seen 57m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Deportivo Capiata vs GuairenaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Sol de America vs ResistenciaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| LDU Portoviejo vs 22 de JulioFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.58 · +15.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Tondela vs Academica CoimbraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Lokeren Temse vs EupenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Real Frontera vs Deportivo LaraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 36m before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| De Treffers vs GVVV VeenendaalFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Cumbaya vs Deportivo Santo DomingoFootball · Division 2 | first seen 48m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Deportivo Capiata vs Sol de AmericaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-4 | LOST |
| 3 de Noviembre vs Atletico TembetaryFootball · Division 2 | first seen 23m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Hoek vs KoninklijkeFootball · Division 2 | first seen 24m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| 22 de Julio vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2 | first seen 30m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Leixoes vs TondelaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Resistencia vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 2 | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Vizela vs LeiriaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Porto 2 vs FarenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Amarante vs Lusitania LourosaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 58m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.62 · −10.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
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