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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Bihor Oradea vs CSA Steaua Bucuresti

Football · League 2

Won

Over 1.5FC Bihor Oradea Goals

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Bolton vs Cardiff

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Brentford U21 vs Everton U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13 · tipped 23h before

China U20 (w) vs Spain U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Poland. Group stage

Won

Home +1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13 · tipped 23h before

Vasco da Gama U20 vs Bangu U20

Football · U20. Carioca

Lost

Home - Vasco da Gama U20Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Rosengard (w) vs Uppsala (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

Away +0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

HK Kopavogur (W) vs Volsungur (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 0.751st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-08*

Club Brugge vs Aston Villa

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 5.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
2:3

2026-09-08*

Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-08*

Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-09*

Wolfsburg (w) vs Werder Bremen (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Won

Over 4Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa

Football · Superleague

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda Gradacac

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Over 1.5Real Madrid (W) Goals

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Over 1Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Sporting Lisbon U19 vs Galatasaray U19

Football · U19. League phase

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-09 · tipped 2d 23h before

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Group stage

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-07 · tipped 26h before

Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Group stage

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-07 · tipped 26h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Bihor Oradea vs CSA Steaua BucurestiFootball · League 22026-09-12*Over 1.5FC Bihor Oradea Goals2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Bolton vs CardiffFootball · Livebet2026-09-12*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
Brentford U21 vs Everton U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-09-13tipped 23h beforeHome YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
China U20 (w) vs Spain U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Poland. Group stage2026-09-13tipped 23h beforeHome +1Asian Handicap1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65——WON
Vasco da Gama U20 vs Bangu U20Football · U20. Carioca2026-09-12*Home - Vasco da Gama U20Half Time/Full Time2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Rosengard (w) vs Uppsala (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-12*Away +0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
HK Kopavogur (W) vs Volsungur (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-12*Over 0.751st Half Goal Line2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——WON
Sutton Utd vs Birmingham U21Football · Livebet2026-09-08*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70——LOST
Club Brugge vs Aston VillaFootball · Livebet2026-09-08*Over 5.5Goal Line1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93—2:3LOST
Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21Football · Livebet2026-09-08*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-09*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Wolfsburg (w) vs Werder Bremen (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-09-06*Over 4Goal Line1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——WON
Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Viimsi JK (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Lech Poznan vs Rakow CzestochowaFootball · Superleague2026-09-06*Home -0.5Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna DusseldorfFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
GOSK Gabela vs NK Zvijezda GradacacFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Over 1.5GOSK Gabela Goals1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Over 1.5Real Madrid (W) Goals1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Over 1Goal Line2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Sporting Lisbon U19 vs Galatasaray U19Football · U19. League phase2026-09-09tipped 2d 23h beforeHome -0.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——WON
Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Group stage2026-09-07tipped 26h beforeHome -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Group stage2026-09-07tipped 26h beforeOver 11st Half Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

101–125 of 215

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