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BeatTheMarket

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-10

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

48

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with BeatTheMarket, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Unprovenn=27

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

28

27 graded · 1 void

Win rate

70.4%

95% CI 52%–84%

Profit

+52.5u

over 143u staked

Yield

+36.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

7

Longest losing streak

2

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−11.9u

from a +55.5u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 27

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±52.9u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap1675.0%+47.8u
Draw no bet3—−1.7u
Handicap3—+1.2u
Match winner3—−4.8u
Asian over under1—+4.0u
Double chance1—+3.0u
Unmapped1—+3.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Por. Other1775.0%+37.6u
Division 23—+2.7u
Por. Cup3—+17.4u
Cup. Round of 2561—−5.0u
Livebet1—−3.0u
Por. Superliga↗Por. Superliga league page1—−5.0u
Premier League1—+3.1u
Primera Division. Season 26/27↗Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page1—+4.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 20h before kickoff — median over 15 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Juventude Desportiva Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 22h before

Brito SC vs SC Maria da Fonte

Por. Other

Won

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 20h before

Fast Clube vs Chaves

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 8h before

UD de Leiria vs Portimonense SC

Por. Other

Won

Home -0.25 AHFT

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 2h before

Salgueiros vs AD Machico

Por. Other

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-04* · tipped 2h before

SC Vianense vs FC Paços de Ferreira

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-05* · tipped 22h before

Rebordelo vs Braganca

Por. Cup

Won

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30* · tipped 6h before

Cinfaes vs Espinho

Cup. Round of 256

Lost

Away +0.5,+1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30* · tipped 8m before

Varzim vs Trofense

Por. Cup

Won

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29* · tipped 20h before

Lusitano GC Evora vs CF Os Belenenses

Por. Cup

Won

Home +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30* · tipped 27h before

Leiria vs Tondela

Division 2

Won

Home -0.25 AHFT

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28* · tipped 31h before

FC Tirsense vs Fast Clube

Por. Other

Won

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Braganca vs Braga B

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23* · tipped 5h before

Sporting CP vs Vitória SC de Guimarães

Por. Superliga

Lost

Home -1.25 AHFT

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-14*

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga

Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19 · tipped 5d 3h before

Penafiel vs Portimonense

Division 2

Lost

Home -0.25 AHFT

Tipster odds
1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Juventude Desportiva Lajense vs Vitoria SetubalPor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 22h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Brito SC vs SC Maria da FontePor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 20h beforeHome 0.0Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Fast Clube vs ChavesPor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 8h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——WON
UD de Leiria vs Portimonense SCPor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 2h beforeHome -0.25 AHFT1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96——WON
Salgueiros vs AD MachicoPor. Other2026-09-04*tipped 2h beforeHome 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——LOST
SC Vianense vs FC Paços de FerreiraPor. Other2026-09-05*tipped 22h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Rebordelo vs BragancaPor. Cup2026-08-30*tipped 6h beforeAway -0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Cinfaes vs EspinhoCup. Round of 2562026-08-30*tipped 8m beforeAway +0.5,+1.0Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Varzim vs TrofensePor. Cup2026-08-29*tipped 20h beforeHome 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Lusitano GC Evora vs CF Os BelenensesPor. Cup2026-08-30*tipped 27h beforeHome +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
Leiria vs TondelaDivision 22026-08-28*tipped 31h beforeHome -0.25 AHFT1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——WON
FC Tirsense vs Fast ClubePor. Other2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Braganca vs Braga BPor. Other2026-08-23*tipped 5h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Sporting CP vs Vitória SC de GuimarãesPor. Superliga2026-08-14*Home -1.25 AHFT1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64——LOST
Atletico Madrid vs MalagaPrimera Division. Season 26/272026-08-19tipped 5d 3h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Penafiel vs PortimonenseDivision 2—Home -0.25 AHFT1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–16 of 16· 12 won / 4 lost · +47.7u · +50.3% yield · of 28 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.