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BeatTheMarket

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-10

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

48

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with BeatTheMarket, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=76

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

79

76 graded · 3 void

Win rate

60.5%

95% CI 49%–71%

Profit

+66.5u

over 397u staked

Yield

+16.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

7

Longest losing streak

5

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.3u

from a +67.5u peak · bottomed 2026-10-10

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 76

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±85.5u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap5956.9%+35.4u
Handicap8—+20.2u
Match winner5—−2.3u
Draw no bet3—−1.7u
Asian over under1—+4.0u
Double chance1—+3.0u
Over/Under1—+4.8u
Unmapped1—+3.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Por. Other2660.0%+21.6u
Por. Cup1484.6%+43.1u
Women5—+3.7u
CONCACAF CL↗CONCACAF CL league page4—+12.3u
Division 24—+6.0u
Friendly3—−5.9u
Friendly matches↗Friendly matches league page3—+6.5u
League B↗League B league page3—−8.0u
Por. Superliga↗Por. Superliga league page3—−15.0u
League C↗League C league page2—−1.0u
Livebet2—+0.1u
Other2—−1.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 23h before kickoff — median over 54 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Alcochetense vs Maritimo

Por. Cup

Won

Home +2.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18* · tipped 22h before

Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra

Por. Cup

Won

Home 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18* · tipped 21h before

Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital

Por. Cup

Won

Home +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18* · tipped 21h before

USC Paredes vs Famalicao

Por. Cup

Won

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18* · tipped 25h before

Mafra vs Santa Clara

Por. Cup

Won

Home +1.5,+2.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18* · tipped 21h before

Tondela vs Alverca

Por. Cup

Won

Home +0.5,+1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-18* · tipped 21h before

Chaves vs CF Os Marialvas

Por. Cup

Void

Home -1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-16* · tipped 31h before

ACDR Lamelas vs Guimaraes

Por. Cup

Lost

Away -2.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17* · tipped 20h before

Fazendense vs Estrela Amadora

Por. Cup

Won

Away -1.5,-2.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

AD Sanjoanense vs Nacional

Por. Cup

Won

Home +2.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

SC Vianense vs Leixoes

Por. Cup

Lost

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-17*

Rebordelo vs Braganca

Por. Cup

Won

Away -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30* · tipped 6h before

Varzim vs Trofense

Por. Cup

Won

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29* · tipped 20h before

Lusitano GC Evora vs CF Os Belenenses

Por. Cup

Won

Home +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30* · tipped 27h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Alcochetense vs MaritimoPor. Cup2026-10-18*tipped 22h beforeHome +2.0Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Vitoria Setubal vs UD da SerraPor. Cup2026-10-18*tipped 21h beforeHome 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Olhanense vs Oliveira HospitalPor. Cup2026-10-18*tipped 21h beforeHome +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
USC Paredes vs FamalicaoPor. Cup2026-10-18*tipped 25h beforeHome +1.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Mafra vs Santa ClaraPor. Cup2026-10-18*tipped 21h beforeHome +1.5,+2.0Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Tondela vs AlvercaPor. Cup2026-10-18*tipped 21h beforeHome +0.5,+1.0Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Chaves vs CF Os MarialvasPor. Cup2026-10-16*tipped 31h beforeHome -1.0Asian Handicap1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——VOID
ACDR Lamelas vs GuimaraesPor. Cup2026-10-17*tipped 20h beforeAway -2.5Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Fazendense vs Estrela AmadoraPor. Cup2026-10-17*Away -1.5,-2.0Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
AD Sanjoanense vs NacionalPor. Cup2026-10-17*Home +2.0Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
SC Vianense vs LeixoesPor. Cup2026-10-17*Away -0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Rebordelo vs BragancaPor. Cup2026-08-30*tipped 6h beforeAway -0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
Varzim vs TrofensePor. Cup2026-08-29*tipped 20h beforeHome 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Lusitano GC Evora vs CF Os BelenensesPor. Cup2026-08-30*tipped 27h beforeHome +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–14 of 14· 11 won / 2 lost · +43.1u · +61.6% yield · of 79 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.